Turnout in this year's primaries for Congress and most state governorships surged compared with the last midterms in 2014, particularly among Democrats. Nearly a fifth (19.6%) of registered voters – about 37 million – cast ballots in primary elections for the U.S. House of Representatives – a 56% increase over the 23.7 million who voted in 2014's House primaries. Turnout that year was 13.7% of registered voters.
As elections draw near, voter enthusiasm is at its highest level during any midterm in more than two decades. A record share of registered voters say which party controls Congress will be a factor in their vote.
Across a range of political activities – from attending political rallies to donating to campaigns – voters who back Democratic candidates for Congress are reporting higher levels of political activity than GOP voters.
Generation X and younger generations make up a majority of the U.S. electorate. But if past U.S. midterm election turnout patterns hold true, these younger Americans are unlikely to cast the majority of votes this November.
About 55.7% of the U.S. voting-age population cast ballots in the 2016 presidential election, placing America behind most of its OECD peers.
As of November 2016, an estimated 62 million Millennials were voting-age U.S. citizens – moving closer in number to the 70 million Baby Boomers.
Read a Q&A with Pew Research Center’s Ruth Igielnik and Scott Keeter about a recent study about voter files.
A new analysis demystifies voter files, the widely-used and comprehensive digital databases used to better understand the U.S. electorate.
Probability forecasts have gained prominence in recent years. But these forecasts may confuse potential voters and may even lower the likelihood that they vote.
The 2018 midterm elections will be determined in large part by who goes to the polls and who stays home.