---
title: "A Quarter of Americans Expect Economy to Worsen in Next Year"
description: "A quarter of Americans expect the economy will be worse off a year from now, the highest level since June 2011."
date: "2012-12-18"
authors:
  - name: "Bruce Drake"
    job_title: "Former Senior Editor"
    link: "https://www.pewresearch.org/staff/bruce-drake/"
url: "https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2012/12/18/a-quarter-of-americans-expect-economy-to-worsen-in-next-year/"
---

# A Quarter of Americans Expect Economy to Worsen in Next Year

[![](https://assets.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/12/2012/12/DN_Economy121712.jpg)](https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2012/12/13/section-3-views-of-economic-conditions-2/)

There has been a modest improvement in the public’s ratings of current economic conditions – while just 15% say the nation’s economy is in excellent or good shape, the percentage saying the economy is in poor shape has dipped to 35%, the lowest percentage since January 2008.

Yet the public’s future economic outlook has become more negative, according to our survey conducted Dec. 5-9. A quarter (25%) says the economy will be worse off a year from now, up from just 8% in September and the highest level since June 2011. Overall, 37% expect the economy to be better off next year, down from 43% in September.

Republicans are increasingly pessimistic about the nation’s economy. Fully 47% of Republicans now say that the economy will be in worse shape a year from now, while only 10% expect conditions to improve.

In September, just 7% of Republicans expected the economy to be worse off over the next year, while 35% expected conditions to improve.

Independents also have a more negative economic outlook. Currently, 26% of independents say the economy will be worse in a year, up from 11% in September.

By contrast, economic expectations among Democrats have shown little change. About six-in-ten (61%) Democrats expect conditions to be better a year from now, on par with evaluations in September (58%). [Read more](https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2012/12/13/section-3-views-of-economic-conditions-2/)