---
title: "Voters See Obama Victory"
description: "Six-in-ten voters see Obama as most likely to win."
date: "2008-10-24"
authors:
  - name: "Russell Heimlich"
    job_title: "Former web developer"
    link: "https://www.pewresearch.org/staff/russell-heimlich/"
url: "https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2008/10/24/voters-see-obama-victory/"
---

# Voters See Obama Victory

While only a month ago voters were evenly split on which candidate would win the election, about six-in-ten voters (61%) now see Obama as most likely to win with only 17% seeing a McCain victory. While McCain supporters still believe their candidate will win — by a 38%-to-36% margin — their confidence has fallen sharply since mid-September, when 69% believed McCain would win. Since 1992, voters surveyed in early fall have consistently predicted correctly which candidate would win the election. [Read More](https://www.pewresearch.org/pubs/1000/obama-lead-widens)