---
title: "Six Telling Findings from the Iowa Caucuses"
description: "The Iowa caucuses produced six small but significant indicators of the dynamics that drove the race."
date: "2011-01-04"
authors:
  - name: "Tom Rosentiel"
    job_title: "Guest Contributor"
url: "https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2011/01/04/six-telling-findings-from-the-iowa-caucuses/"
categories:
  - "Election 2012"
---

# Six Telling Findings from the Iowa Caucuses

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caucuses that may -- or may not – prove to be important as the

GOP race moves on to New Hampshire and beyond.

**Romney Gets 1% of "True Conservative" Voters.** A quarter of Iowa caucus voters said the most important candidate quality was that they be a "true conservative." Among these voters, just 1% supported Romney; 37% backed Paul and 36% supported Santorum.

**Number of Late Deciders Spikes.** Nearly half of Iowa caucus voters (46%) said they decided their vote on the day of the caucuses or in the days leading up to them. Four years ago, 30% said they decided on the day of the voting or in the three days before. Santorum won about a third of the votes from late deciders, more than any other candidate.

**The Issue Divides.** Just 13% said that abortion was the most important issue in choosing a candidate; these voters overwhelmingly backed Santorum. Far more Iowa caucus voters rated the economy (42%) and budget deficit (34%) as most important: The former group supported Romney, while deficit hawks supported Paul.

**More Independents.** Independents comprised nearly a quarter (23%) of GOP caucus voters, up from 13% four years ago. As was the case in 2008, roughly six-in-ten caucus voters were white evangelicals.

**Republicans Split Their Votes.** Three-quarters of caucus voters were Republicans and they split their votes almost evenly between Santorum (29%) and Romney (27%). Paul drew a sizable plurality (43%) among self-described independents.

**Tea Party vs. Non-Tea Party.** Santorum led Romney by 11 points among Tea Party Republicans (and by 19 points among strong GOP supporters of the movement). By contrast, Romney led Santorum by a wide margin (39% to 21%) among non-Tea Party Republicans.