U.S. Politics Sep. 18, 2008

McCain Gains on Issues, But Stalls as Candidate of Change

The race remains close as enthusiasm for McCain increases among GOP base. Somewhat more swing voters (46%) say their greater concern is that McCain will govern too much like President Bush, rather than that Obama lacks experience (37%).

U.S. Politics Aug. 22, 2008

A Closer Look at the Parties in 2008

As the 2008 conventions approach, the Democratic Party’s advantage in party identification remains as large as it has been over the past two decades, and the Democratic Party’s image remains substantially more positive than the GOP’s.

U.S. Politics Jul. 10, 2008

Likely Rise In Voter Turnout Bodes Well For Democrats

Even with a partisan enthusiasm gap, voter interest is already as high as in November of recent elections, two trends that may significantly alter the composition of the eventual electorate in the Democrats’ favor. The proportion of swing voters is also up compared with four years ago. Nearly half of independents (47%) are undecided or may change their minds, up from 28% in June 2004.

U.S. Politics May. 29, 2008

In Tight General Election, McCain’s Negatives Mostly Political, Obama’s More Personal

While Obama has opened up a wide lead in the Democratic primary, he now runs about even against McCain. The tightening general election shows some sullying of Obama’s personal image over the past three months, which is in some measure a negative reaction from frustrated Clinton supporters. McCain’s image has also become more negative since February, however, unlike Obama, those who disapprove cite his political beliefs.

U.S. Politics Mar. 27, 2008

Obama Weathers the Wright Storm, Clinton Faces Credibility Problem

Obama’s personal image remains more favorable than Clinton’s – and he retains a 10-point advantage over her in the race for the nomination. But certain beliefs and attitudes among older, white, working-class Democrats are associated with his lower levels of support among this group.

Religion Mar. 7, 2008

Voting Religiously

Pew Forum’s John Green discusses the role that religious and unaffiliated voters played on March 4 and could play in coming Democratic primaries and whether false rumors about Obama’s faith could hurt his chances.

U.S. Politics Feb. 28, 2008

Obama Has the Lead, but Potential Problems Too

Obama has moved out to a broad-based advantage over Clinton in the national Democratic primary contest. Public attitudes about the war in Iraq have turned more positive, a favorable development for McCain.

Pew Research Center Jan. 31, 2008

GOP Debate’s Economic Focus Mirrors Country’s Growing Concern

But candidates’ perceptions on economic growth and tax cuts diverge from overall public priorities.

U.S. Politics Jan. 24, 2008

Election-Year Economic Ratings Lowest Since ’92

Republicans and Democrats agree the economy should be a top priority for the president and Congress, but they differ more than ever on the importance of other domestic issues — such as global warming and health insurance for the uninsured.

Religion Jan. 24, 2008

Will Evangelical Voters Rally Around a Single Candidate in 2008?

As voting patterns and preferences among evangelicals have become more fluid, their electoral impact may extend beyond the primaries and affect both parties in November. Two experts from the Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life discuss this critical voting bloc.