This may be the last presidential election dominated by Boomers and prior generations
Recent presidential elections have been dominated by voters from the Baby Boom and previous generations. That may change this November.
Trump supporters far less confident than Clinton backers that votes will be counted accurately
Just 11% of Trump supporters are highly confident that votes across the country will be accurately counted.
Millennials match Baby Boomers as largest generation in U.S. electorate, but will they vote?
Millennials, who already have surpassed Baby Boomers as the United States’ largest living generation, now have caught up to the Boomers when it comes to their share of the American electorate. As of April 2016, an estimated 69.2 million Millennials (adults ages 18-35 in 2016) were voting-age U.S. citizens – a number almost equal to […]
Voters have a dim view of primaries as a good way to pick the best candidate
Just 35% of voters say that the primaries have been a good way of determining the best- qualified nominees.
Many Americans say they voted, but did they?
One-in-six (16%) of those who say they “definitely voted” in the 2014 midterm election have no record of voting in commercially available national voter files.
2012 Republican Primary Voters: More Conservative Than GOP General Election Voters
In many ways, GOP primary voters were more conservative than Republican general election voters who didn’t vote in 2012’s primaries, both in their self-identification and their political values.
Can Likely Voter Models Be Improved?
High-profile polling failures in recent elections have drawn attention to the challenges in using surveys to predict outcomes. Our study examines various methods of determining who is a likely voter.
5 takeaways about the 2014 Latino vote
Would Latinos turn out to vote in greater numbers this year? Would the lack of action on immigration reform by President Obama and Congress depress voter turnout, or raise it? Here are five takeaways about Latino voters in this year’s midterm elections.
The Party of Nonvoters
Americans who won’t be voting on Election Day are very different from likely voters: They’re younger, more racially diverse and more financially strapped.
Registered voters, likely voters, turnout rates: What does it all mean to 2014 election forecasts?
How many Americans are likely to vote, and which voters in the survey are the likely voters? Important as these questions are, there is almost no consensus among the pollsters as to how to identify each of these groups.