Fact TankMay 16, 2016

Millennials match Baby Boomers as largest generation in U.S. electorate, but will they vote?

Millennials, who already have surpassed Baby Boomers as the United States’ largest living generation, now have caught up to the Boomers when it comes to their share of the American electorate. As of April 2016, an estimated 69.2 million Millennials (adults ages 18-35 in 2016) were voting-age U.S. citizens – a number almost equal to […]

Fact TankApril 5, 2016

Voters have a dim view of primaries as a good way to pick the best candidate

Just 35% of voters say that the primaries have been a good way of determining the best- qualified nominees.

Fact TankMarch 10, 2016

Many Americans say they voted, but did they?

One-in-six (16%) of those who say they “definitely voted” in the 2014 midterm election have no record of voting in commercially available national voter files.

Pew Research CenterJanuary 28, 2016

2012 Republican Primary Voters: More Conservative Than GOP General Election Voters

In many ways, GOP primary voters were more conservative than Republican general election voters who didn’t vote in 2012’s primaries, both in their self-identification and their political values.

MethodsJanuary 7, 2016

Can Likely Voter Models Be Improved?

High-profile polling failures in recent elections have drawn attention to the challenges in using surveys to predict outcomes. Our study examines various methods of determining who is a likely voter.

Fact TankNovember 10, 2014

5 takeaways about the 2014 Latino vote

Would Latinos turn out to vote in greater numbers this year? Would the lack of action on immigration reform by President Obama and Congress depress voter turnout, or raise it? Here are five takeaways about Latino voters in this year’s midterm elections.

Pew Research CenterOctober 31, 2014

The Party of Nonvoters

Americans who won’t be voting on Election Day are very different from likely voters: They’re younger, more racially diverse and more financially strapped.

Fact TankOctober 29, 2014

Registered voters, likely voters, turnout rates: What does it all mean to 2014 election forecasts?

How many Americans are likely to vote, and which voters in the survey are the likely voters? Important as these questions are, there is almost no consensus among the pollsters as to how to identify each of these groups.

Pew Research CenterOctober 28, 2014

Fewer Voters Report Getting Robo-Calls, Campaign Ads Still Pervasive

Voters are reporting roughly similar levels of contact from political campaigns and groups as four years ago, but the share of voters who say they have received a phone call about the election has fallen 12 points since mid-October 2010, from 59% to 47%.

Pew Research CenterJuly 24, 2014

GOP Has Midterm Voter Engagement Advantage

Republicans hold a clear advantage in voter engagement in this fall’s midterm elections, but it is more modest than it was in 2010. And anti-incumbent sentiment remains high.