Pew Research Center’s Exit Poll Analysis on the 2012 Election
Pew Research Center analyzes the electorate, voter turnout and the issues that affected President Obama’s reelection win in 2012.
One-in-Five Registered Voters Talk About How They Voted on Social Media
Fully 22% of registered voters have told others how they voted on a social networking site, while 30% have been encouraged to vote for a candidate by family and friends and 20% have encouraged others to vote.
Nonvoters: Who They Are, What They Think
A sizable minority of adults choose not to vote or are unable to vote. They will affect the outcome of the presidential election by their absence. Who are they?
In Deadlocked Race, Neither Side Has Ground Advantage
Just as the presidential race is deadlocked, the candidates are running about even when it comes to the ground game. Voters report being contacted at about the same rates by each campaign. And neither candidate has a clear advantage among early voters.
Presidential Race Dead Even; Romney Maintains Turnout Edge
As the presidential campaign enters its final week, the race is even among likely voters: 47% favor Barack Obama and the same percentage supports Mitt Romney. While Romney holds a turnout advantage, Obama leads on many personal characteristics and issues.
Latino Voters Support Obama by 3-1 Ratio, But Are Less Certain than Others about Voting
Latino registered voters prefer President Obama over Republican challenger Mitt Romney by 69% to 21%; express growing satisfaction with the direction of the nation and the state of their personal finances; but are somewhat less certain than non-Hispanics that they will vote in this election.
A Record 24 Million Latinos Are Eligible to Vote
A record 23.7 million Latinos are eligible to vote in the 2012 presidential election, according to a new analysis of Census Bureau data. This is up by more than 4 million, or 22%, since 2008, but turnout typically lags that of whites, blacks.
Map: Mapping the 2012 Latino Electorate
A map showing key characteristics of Latino eligible voters in all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
Youth Engagement Falls; Registration Also Declines
Young voters are significantly less engaged in this year’s election than at a comparable point in 2008 and now lag far behind older voters in interest in the campaign and intention to vote.
Determining Who Is a ’Likely Voter’
Scott Keeter, director of survey research, explains why pollsters switch from registered voters to likely voters in their samples as Election Day nears, and how the Pew Research Center determines who is likely to vote.