Can Likely Voter Models Be Improved?
High-profile polling failures in recent elections have drawn attention to the challenges in using surveys to predict outcomes. Our study examines various methods of determining who is a likely voter.
Supreme Court could reshape voting districts, with big impact on Hispanics
How the Supreme Court decides a redistricting case from Texas could affect Hispanic voting strength and House representation from coast to coast.
50 years ago: Mixed views about civil rights but support for Selma demonstrators
In 1965, America’s verdict on Selma was clear: Polling showed the public clearly siding with the demonstrators, not with the state of Alabama.
As Cuban American demographics change, so do views of Cuba
President Obama’s change in policy towards Cuba comes as the Cuban American population itself is changing—in its demographics, views of U.S.-Cuba policy, and its politics.
5 takeaways about the 2014 Latino vote
Would Latinos turn out to vote in greater numbers this year? Would the lack of action on immigration reform by President Obama and Congress depress voter turnout, or raise it? Here are five takeaways about Latino voters in this year’s midterm elections.
Hispanics Still Favor Democrats, GOP Makes Gains in Some States
Democrats maintained a large edge among Latinos voting in the midterm elections, but in some states, Republican candidates won more than 40% of the Latino vote.
Why measuring the demographics of voters on Election Day is difficult
The two primary sources that provide insight into voter demographics use different methodologies, are released at different times, and often produce slightly different results.
Democratic Advantage Among Latinos Falls
Democrats maintain a wide, but diminished, advantage among Hispanic registered voters, 54% of whom say a candidate’s position on immigration is not a deal-breaker in determining their vote.