Political Polarization in Action: Insights into the 2014 Election from the American Trends Panel
While consistent conservatives and liberals are much more likely to vote than those with mixed views, the advantage at the moment goes to the right: Consistent conservatives are 15 percentage points more likely to vote this fall than consistent liberals.
The GOP’s Millennial problem runs deep
Millennials are the most liberal age group and are more likely to lean towards the Democrats. But in addition to that, Millennials who identify with the GOP are also less conservative than Republicans in other generations.
No Sign of GOP Tide in Congressional Voting Intentions
The GOP’s relatively thin 47-44 lead in the current midterm polls strongly suggests that this is not a “tide” election.
Both Parties Face Internal Criticism on Illegal Immigration
Older Republicans are especially critical of how the GOP has handled illegal immigration. Many Hispanic Democrats fault their party for being unwilling to allow legal status for people in the U.S. illegally.
Wide Partisan Differences Over the Issues That Matter in 2014
Heading into the final weeks before the midterm elections, Republican and Democratic voters are split not only over their candidate preferences, but also about the importance of key issues in the election.
Religious divides persist heading into fall campaign
While there have been several controversial issues since 2010 at the intersection of religion and politics, there has been more stability than change among major religious groups’ voting preferences.
Republicans Open Up Wider ‘Expectations Gap’ Ahead of Midterms
With just over two months before the midterm elections, Republican voters are widening the “expectations gap” with the Democrats.
In search of libertarians
About one-in-ten Americans (11%) describe themselves as libertarian and know what the term means.
Stark Racial Divisions in Reactions to Ferguson Police Shooting
Blacks are about twice as likely as whites to say that the police shooting of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Mo., raises important issues about race and that police have gone too far in responding to the shooting’s aftermath.
The political middle still matters
Despite growing political polarization between the GOP and Democratic bases, there’s a sizable “middle” that still matters in elections.