Voter Turnout and Congressional Change
In recent decades, there have been three basic ways that turnout has worked to produce the sort of “big wave” midterm that the Democrats are hoping for next week.
Can Safe Seats Save the Republicans?
One of the biggest political questions in the final weeks of this Congressional campaign is whether the national trend in support for Democratic candidates is big enough to overcome the safe-seat redistricting that in recent years has led to fewer and fewer seats turning over in Congress.
Evangelicals and the GOP: An Update
White evangelical Protestants have become the most important part of the Republican Party’s electoral base, making up nearly one-in-four of those who identify with the GOP and vote for its candidates. This analysis examines the current state of evangelical support for the GOP, in light of the approaching 2006 elections.
Growing Number of Liberal Democrats
About one-third of Democratic voters now describe themselves as liberal, an increase since 2000, when just one-in-four Democrats self-identified with the “L-word.” Meantime, some 41% of Democrats now call themselves moderate and 23% say they are conservatives.
November Turnout May Be High
Unlike the past three mid-term election campaigns, Democrats are more enthusiastic than Republicans about voting this year.
Blue States Get Even More Democratic
Red States Stay Red, Blue States Get Bluer, Swing States Deadlock
Democrats Face Ideological Split Over Wal-Mart
Leading Democrats have attacked the employment practices of Wal-Mart, but the party’s rank-and-file is divided about the company. Liberals are negative, while conservatives and moderates have a positive view.
2006 National Survey of Latinos: The Immigration Debate
New survey finds Hispanics in the U.S. are feeling discriminated against, politically energized and unified following the immigration policy debate and the pro-immigration marches this spring.
Do the Democrats Have a ’God Problem’?
Religion’s Political Power
’Enthusiasm Gap’ Favors Democrats This Year
A new poll finds Democrats more eager to vote, but also less happy with their party.