Obama Has the Lead, but Potential Problems Too
Obama has moved out to a broad-based advantage over Clinton in the national Democratic primary contest. Public attitudes about the war in Iraq have turned more positive, a favorable development for McCain.
The Hispanic Vote in the 2008 Democratic Presidential Primaries
As the Democratic nomination contest heads for a showdown in Texas on March 4, Latinos may be a pivotal constituency in a state where they make up a quarter of the electorate.
Young Voters in the 2008 Presidential Primaries
Beyond the vote, the exit polls point to interesting differences — and similarities — between younger and older Democratic voters.
Global Warming Falls Still Farther on Republicans’ Policy Agenda
Republicans’ concerns about climate change have fallen through the floor. Just 12% now call it a top priority for policymakers.
The GOP’s Unanswered Question
Thursday night’s Republican debate in South Carolina in the wake of John McCain’s comeback victory in New Hampshire and Mike Huckabee’s surprising win in Iowa raised more questions than it answered.
Hispanics and the 2008 Election: A Swing Vote?
Earlier Republican Party gains among Latinos have dissipated in the past year, a new Pew Hispanic Center survey finds. Hispanics also comprise a sizable share of voters in four “swing states” that President Bush narrowly carried in 2004.
A Year Later: Public Dissatisfied With Democratic Leaders, But Still Happy They Won
Republican leaders share blame for Congress’s lack of productivity; Democrats holds 12-point advantage over GOP as better able to manage the federal government.
Religious Groups’ Presidential Candidate Preferences
A new analysis of recent surveys show Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani as the preferred candidates among key religious groups. Giuliani, though, garners considerably less support from white evangelical Protestants than he does from white mainline Protestants and white Catholics.
A Year Ahead, Republicans Face Tough Political Terrain
A year before the 2008 presidential election, most major national opinion trends decidedly favor the Democrats and discontent with the state of the nation is markedly greater than it was four years ago. Also, Republicans have become less likely to say that their party is doing a good job standing up for its traditional positions.
Religion and the Presidential Vote: A Tale of Two Gaps
An analysis of national exit polls from 2004 shows there is not one but two religion gaps — one based on religious affiliation and the other based on frequency of attendance at worship services. How did the gaps manifest themselves in the 2004 election and what are the possible implications for 2008?