Candidates who don’t win on first convention ballot usually go on to lose
In 11 of the 18 conventions since the Civil War that went more than one ballot, the first-ballot leader ended up losing the nomination to someone else.
Voters have a dim view of primaries as a good way to pick the best candidate
Just 35% of voters say that the primaries have been a good way of determining the best- qualified nominees.
Millennials give Obama a boost as his job rating rebounds
About six-in-ten (62%) Millennials approve of the job Obama is doing. By comparison, half of Gen Xers, 43% of Boomers and just 37% of Silents offer positive ratings of the president’s job performance.
Trump has benefited from evangelicals’ support, but he’s not the first choice of the most committed
White evangelical Republicans who attend church regularly are most heavily concentrated in the Ted Cruz camp.
Republicans skeptical their party would unite behind Trump
Roughly half of Ted Cruz’s and John Kasich’s supporters say that Trump would make a “poor” or “terrible” president.
Republicans, especially Trump supporters, see free trade deals as bad for U.S.
Although Clinton and Sanders have both come out against TPP, majorities of their supporters believe trade deals have been good for the country.
Views of NATO and its role are mixed in U.S., other member nations
Foreign policy and national security have been key elements of the debate for both the Republican and Democratic parties in this year’s U.S. presidential campaign. GOP front-runner Donald Trump recently added a twist when he suggested in a Washington Post interview that, while NATO is “a good thing to have,” changes are needed because the […]
This year’s GOP presidential battle isn’t the first – or even the deepest – party divide
Both major U.S. political parties have a long history of splits, splinters and other schisms.
Is speaking Spanish necessary to be Hispanic? Most Hispanics say no
During Saturday’s Republican presidential debate in South Carolina, Marco Rubio questioned (in English) whether Ted Cruz speaks Spanish. Cruz responded in Spanish with a challenge to Rubio to discuss their views on immigration in that language. Rubio’s confrontation with Cruz, who recently became the first Hispanic to win the Iowa caucuses, was interpreted by some […]
Contested presidential conventions, and why parties try to avoid them
There hasn’t been a seriously contested nominating convention in decades, and a look at history helps explain why: Candidates who needed multiple ballots to get nominated usually didn’t go on to win the White House.