1. Polls and votes: The 2014 elections by the numbers
Our equivalent of a crystal ball – the voter file, combined with a post-election survey interview – provides us with a validated record of turnout for our survey respondents. Our post-election survey provides us with the respondents’ report of how they voted. This allows us to see how a Democratic advantage among registered voters in […]
Can Likely Voter Models Be Improved?
High-profile polling failures in recent elections have drawn attention to the challenges in using surveys to predict outcomes. Our study examines various methods of determining who is a likely voter.
Pew Research Center will call 75% cellphones for surveys in 2016
We’re making this change to ensure our survey samples properly represent the now roughly half (47%) of U.S. adults who only have a cellphone.
Public Interest in Science and Health Linked to Gender, Age and Personality
Fully 32% of online adults say science and technology is among the topics they find most interesting; 37% say health and medicine.
How Pew Research Center studied the Washington press corps
Jesse Holcomb, associate director of research at the Center, explains how the new report was put together.
How Americans View Their Government
Americans are deeply cynical about government, politics and the nation’s elected leaders. Yet at the same time, they rate the government positively in many areas.
The Unique Challenges of Surveying U.S. Latinos
Surveying Hispanics is complicated for many reasons – language barriers, sampling issues and cultural differences – that are the subject of a growing field of inquiry.
Who Is Multiracial? Depends on How You Ask
Racial identity is far from a straightforward concept, and when multiple strands of identity come together this has the potential to increase the complexity.
Modern Immigration Wave Brings 59 Million to the U.S.
The nation’s foreign-born population has swelled from 10 million in 1965 to a record 45 million in 2015. By 2065, the U.S. will have a projected 78 million immigrants.
Who’s left out in a Web-only survey and how it affects results
We surveyed non-Web panel members by mail and assessed how much, if at all, their non-participation would affect the outcome in a poll conducted exclusively online.