U.S. PoliticsOctober 29, 2014

Registered voters, likely voters, turnout rates: What does it all mean to 2014 election forecasts?

How many Americans are likely to vote, and which voters in the survey are the likely voters? Important as these questions are, there is almost no consensus among the pollsters as to how to identify each of these groups.

U.S. PoliticsOctober 28, 2014

Fewer Voters Report Getting Robo-Calls, Campaign Ads Still Pervasive

Voters are reporting roughly similar levels of contact from political campaigns and groups as four years ago, but the share of voters who say they have received a phone call about the election has fallen 12 points since mid-October 2010, from 59% to 47%.

U.S. PoliticsOctober 23, 2014

GOP Leads on Key Issues; Dems Have More Positive Image

The GOP has the advantage over Democrats on the economy, terrorism and the budget deficit. But Democrats are widely seen as more empathetic and willing to work with those across the aisle.

U.S. PoliticsOctober 23, 2014

Who will turn out to vote in November? A look at likely voters through the lens of the Political Typology

An analysis of our eight Political Typology groups finds that those most likely to vote in the midterms are the three who are most ideological, highly politically engaged and overwhelmingly partisan.

U.S. PoliticsOctober 17, 2014

Political Polarization in Action: Insights into the 2014 Election from the American Trends Panel

While consistent conservatives and liberals are much more likely to vote than those with mixed views, the advantage at the moment goes to the right: Consistent conservatives are 15 percentage points more likely to vote this fall than consistent liberals.

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HispanicOctober 16, 2014

Mapping the Latino Electorate by Congressional District

A record 25.2 million Latinos will be eligible to vote in the 2014 midterm elections. See how the share of Latino voters varies by congressional district in our interactive map.

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HispanicOctober 16, 2014

Mapping the Latino Electorate by State

A record 25.2 million Latinos will be eligible to vote in the 2014 midterm elections. See how the share of Latino voters varies by state in our interactive map.

HispanicOctober 16, 2014

Latino Voters and the 2014 Midterms

A record 25.2 million Latinos are eligible to vote in the 2014 midterms, or 11% of eligible voters nationwide. But in many states with close races this year, Latinos make up a smaller share of eligible voters.

U.S. PoliticsOctober 15, 2014

Romney (again) in 2016? That would be unusual, but not unprecedented

Only nine major-party candidates have won a second presidential nomination after losing a previous election, and only four of those won the second time around.

Media & NewsOctober 14, 2014

Media coverage of the 2016 presidential race heats up

Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie have received more media coverage than other potential 2016 presidential candidates, as of September 2014.