Can Likely Voter Models Be Improved?
High-profile polling failures in recent elections have drawn attention to the challenges in using surveys to predict outcomes. Our study examines various methods of determining who is a likely voter.
Debates Help Fuel Strong Interest in 2016 Campaign
As candidates in both parties prepare for the next round of presidential debates, a new national survey finds that the public is highly engaged by the 2016 campaign.
As more money flows into campaigns, Americans worry about its influence
There’s more money in the political system than at any time since the reforms of the 1970s, a trend that concerns most Americans regardless of party or ideology.
GOP speaker hopefuls have served far less time in House than predecessors
Long years of service have been the norm for past speakers, most of whom had accumulated twice as much time in the House as today’s candidates before wielding the gavel.
Contrasting Partisan Perspectives on Campaign 2016
Republicans now want new ideas and a different approach in a presidential candidate rather than experience and a proven record, while Democrats are more divided on which qualities they prefer.
The 2016 GOP field has a bumper crop of Catholic candidates
Only three Roman Catholics have ever run for president on a major party ticket, and all were Democrats. But that may be about to change. So far six Catholics (including some early favorites) are running for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination.
Jindal followed a rare path, from Hinduism to Catholicism
Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, a newly declared Republican candidate for president, is hoping to attract support from conservative evangelical Christian voters. Jindal himself is a Catholic, and, as the son of immigrants from Hindu-majority India, was raised in the Hindu faith.
Republicans and Democrats sharply divided on how tough to be with Russia
As the Obama White House and its NATO allies discuss their responses to Russia’s activities in Ukraine, Washington faces its own internal divisions, some of which are being reflected in the early stages of the 2016 presidential campaign.
Kohut: Why Less Competition Is Hurtful to Hillary
Hillary’s strategic problem is that, absent a strong Democratic challenger to duke it out with, questions about various Hillary controversies, her age and the “Bill factor” will hang there to be resolved in the general election against a Republican candidate who has been on the road addressing his or her own image weaknesses.
Early Views of the 2016 Presidential Field
The Republican field for 2016 is much more crowded than the Democratic field. But Republicans are more positive about their candidates now than at comparable points in the past two presidential campaigns.