MethodsJanuary 7, 2016

Can Likely Voter Models Be Improved?

High-profile polling failures in recent elections have drawn attention to the challenges in using surveys to predict outcomes. Our study examines various methods of determining who is a likely voter.

U.S. PoliticsDecember 14, 2015

Debates Help Fuel Strong Interest in 2016 Campaign

As candidates in both parties prepare for the next round of presidential debates, a new national survey finds that the public is highly engaged by the 2016 campaign.

U.S. PoliticsDecember 7, 2015

As more money flows into campaigns, Americans worry about its influence

There’s more money in the political system than at any time since the reforms of the 1970s, a trend that concerns most Americans regardless of party or ideology.