MethodsJanuary 7, 2016

Can Likely Voter Models Be Improved?

High-profile polling failures in recent elections have drawn attention to the challenges in using surveys to predict outcomes. Our study examines various methods of determining who is a likely voter.

U.S. PoliticsDecember 14, 2015

Debates Help Fuel Strong Interest in 2016 Campaign

As candidates in both parties prepare for the next round of presidential debates, a new national survey finds that the public is highly engaged by the 2016 campaign.

U.S. PoliticsDecember 7, 2015

As more money flows into campaigns, Americans worry about its influence

There’s more money in the political system than at any time since the reforms of the 1970s, a trend that concerns most Americans regardless of party or ideology.

U.S. PoliticsOctober 6, 2015

GOP speaker hopefuls have served far less time in House than predecessors

Long years of service have been the norm for past speakers, most of whom had accumulated twice as much time in the House as today’s candidates before wielding the gavel.

U.S. PoliticsOctober 2, 2015

Contrasting Partisan Perspectives on Campaign 2016

Republicans now want new ideas and a different approach in a presidential candidate rather than experience and a proven record, while Democrats are more divided on which qualities they prefer.

ReligionJuly 23, 2015

The 2016 GOP field has a bumper crop of Catholic candidates

Only three Roman Catholics have ever run for president on a major party ticket, and all were Democrats. But that may be about to change. So far six Catholics (including some early favorites) are running for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination.