5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls
Some of the better-known statistical rules of thumb that a smart consumer might think apply in polls are more nuanced than they seem. In other words, as is so often the case in life, it’s complicated.
For many voters, it’s not which presidential candidate they’re for but which they’re against
A significant share of both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump supporters say their vote is based more on which candidate they are against rather than which one they are for.
Trump supporters far less confident than Clinton backers that votes will be counted accurately
Just 11% of Trump supporters are highly confident that votes across the country will be accurately counted.
Clinton, Trump Supporters Have Starkly Different Views of a Changing Nation
Supporters of Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump disagree on a range of policy issues, from terrorism to free trade. Yet they also have more fundamental differences over long-term changes in the country and the next generation’s future prospects.
Split-ticket districts, once common, are now rare
In 2012, only 26 House districts out of 435 chose one party’s presidential nominee and the other party’s candidate for the House.
Democratic voters and the road to nominating Hillary Clinton
Hillary Clinton led the field for the Democratic nomination from the beginning of the campaign in early 2015 on her road to becoming the party’s nominee.
In Clinton’s March to Nomination, Many Democrats Changed Their Minds
Hillary Clinton led Bernie Sanders for the Democratic nomination in every Pew Research Center survey conducted throughout the party’s primaries. But many Democratic voters vacillated in their candidate support throughout this period.
The growing Democratic domination of nation’s largest counties
In 2008, Barack Obama won 88 of the 100 largest U.S. counties; four years later he won 86 of them. The last time a Republican presidential candidate won more than a third of the 100 biggest counties was 1988.
For GOP Voters, a Winding Path to a Trump Nomination
Over the course of the GOP primaries, a majority of Republican voters changed their minds about who they preferred for president at least once.
Election 2016: Campaigns as a Direct Source of News
Today’s presidential candidates are increasingly prioritizing social media outreach, while the role of campaign websites is shifting.