Fact Tank Oct. 15, 2014

Romney (again) in 2016? That would be unusual, but not unprecedented

Only nine major-party candidates have won a second presidential nomination after losing a previous election, and only four of those won the second time around.

Fact Tank Oct. 14, 2014

Media coverage of the 2016 presidential race heats up

Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie have received more media coverage than other potential 2016 presidential candidates, as of September 2014.

Fact Tank Oct. 8, 2014

For many Americans, a ‘meh’ midterm

Midterm elections rarely excite the general public, but 2014 is shaping up to be an especially underwhelming cycle for many Americans.

U.S. Politics Sep. 25, 2014

No Sign of GOP Tide in Congressional Voting Intentions

The GOP’s relatively thin 47-44 lead in the current midterm polls strongly suggests that this is not a “tide” election.

U.S. Politics Sep. 12, 2014

Wide Partisan Differences Over the Issues That Matter in 2014

Heading into the final weeks before the midterm elections, Republican and Democratic voters are split not only over their candidate preferences, but also about the importance of key issues in the election.

Fact Tank Sep. 8, 2014

Latino vote is small in nearly all states with hot Senate races

President Obama has delayed any executive action on immigration policy until after this year’s midterm elections. The president noted that part of the reason for this decision was to “make sure we get it right.” Meanwhile several analysts have said that any executive action might energize conservatives and jeopardize the Senate’s Democratic majority given the […]

U.S. Politics Aug. 26, 2014

Republicans Open Up Wider ‘Expectations Gap’ Ahead of Midterms

With just over two months before the midterm elections, Republican voters are widening the “expectations gap” with the Democrats.

U.S. Politics Jul. 24, 2014

GOP Has Midterm Voter Engagement Advantage

Republicans hold a clear advantage in voter engagement in this fall’s midterm elections, but it is more modest than it was in 2010. And anti-incumbent sentiment remains high.

Fact Tank Jul. 24, 2014

Voter turnout always drops off for midterm elections, but why?

Voter turnout, no matter how measured, is consistently lower in midterm elections compared to presidential election years. Political scientists aren’t sure why, but have some ideas.

Fact Tank Jun. 17, 2014

A dug-in electorate bodes poorly for the Democrats in November

Since the Affordable Care Act was passed nearly four years ago, a plurality of Americans have disapproved of it. Since the onset of the Great Recession 6 years ago, more than 80% of Americans have rated economic conditions as only fair or poor. And since winning a second term, Barack Obama’s approval score has mostly been in the mid-40s or lower.