Romney (again) in 2016? That would be unusual, but not unprecedented
Only nine major-party candidates have won a second presidential nomination after losing a previous election, and only four of those won the second time around.
Media coverage of the 2016 presidential race heats up
Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie have received more media coverage than other potential 2016 presidential candidates, as of September 2014.
For many Americans, a ‘meh’ midterm
Midterm elections rarely excite the general public, but 2014 is shaping up to be an especially underwhelming cycle for many Americans.
No Sign of GOP Tide in Congressional Voting Intentions
The GOP’s relatively thin 47-44 lead in the current midterm polls strongly suggests that this is not a “tide” election.
Wide Partisan Differences Over the Issues That Matter in 2014
Heading into the final weeks before the midterm elections, Republican and Democratic voters are split not only over their candidate preferences, but also about the importance of key issues in the election.
Latino vote is small in nearly all states with hot Senate races
President Obama has delayed any executive action on immigration policy until after this year’s midterm elections. The president noted that part of the reason for this decision was to “make sure we get it right.” Meanwhile several analysts have said that any executive action might energize conservatives and jeopardize the Senate’s Democratic majority given the […]
Republicans Open Up Wider ‘Expectations Gap’ Ahead of Midterms
With just over two months before the midterm elections, Republican voters are widening the “expectations gap” with the Democrats.
GOP Has Midterm Voter Engagement Advantage
Republicans hold a clear advantage in voter engagement in this fall’s midterm elections, but it is more modest than it was in 2010. And anti-incumbent sentiment remains high.
Voter turnout always drops off for midterm elections, but why?
Voter turnout, no matter how measured, is consistently lower in midterm elections compared to presidential election years. Political scientists aren’t sure why, but have some ideas.
A dug-in electorate bodes poorly for the Democrats in November
Since the Affordable Care Act was passed nearly four years ago, a plurality of Americans have disapproved of it. Since the onset of the Great Recession 6 years ago, more than 80% of Americans have rated economic conditions as only fair or poor. And since winning a second term, Barack Obama’s approval score has mostly been in the mid-40s or lower.