Misreading the 2012 Election
Postelection talk of “lessons learned” is often exaggerated and misleading, and so it is in 2012, writes Pew Research President Andrew Kohut.
No Consensus View on Election Outcome
Voters had a mixed reaction to the outcome of the 2012 presidential election in the hours immediately following Barack Obama’s victory.
Changing Face of America Helps Assure Obama Victory
Barack Obama retained enough support from key elements of his base to win re-election, even as he lost ground nationally since 2008. In particular, Obama maintained wide advantages among young people, women, minorities, and both the less affluent and the well-educated.
The 2012 Election In One Word
Asked for a single word that describes their reaction to Barack Obama’s victory, Obama voters say they are “relieved” and “happy.” Romney voters generally say they are “disappointed” or “sad” about the election outcome. These reactions to the election are based on data from the Pew Research Center and Google.
How the Faithful Voted: 2012 Preliminary Analysis
Obama’s margin of victory was much smaller than in 2008 and he lost ground among white evangelical Protestants and white Catholics. But the basic religious contours of the 2012 electorate resemble recent elections.
Latinos Voted For President Obama By Two-to-One
Obama’s national vote share among Hispanic voters is the highest seen by a Democratic candidate since 1996. The Latino vote was an important building block for Obama’s win in key states, including Colorado, Nevada and Florida.
Pew Research Center’s Exit Poll Analysis on the 2012 Election
Pew Research Center analyzes the electorate, voter turnout and the issues that affected President Obama’s reelection win in 2012.
One-in-Five Registered Voters Talk About How They Voted on Social Media
Fully 22% of registered voters have told others how they voted on a social networking site, while 30% have been encouraged to vote for a candidate by family and friends and 20% have encouraged others to vote.
Obama Gains Edge in Campaign’s Final Days
Barack Obama has edged ahead of Mitt Romney in the final days of the presidential campaign. Obama holds a 48% to 45% lead among likely voters. The Pew Research Center’s final estimate of the national popular vote is Obama 50% and Romney 47%, when the undecided vote is allocated between the two candidates.
News Coverage for Both Candidates More Negative
Both Barack Obama and Mitt Romney have received more negative news coverage than positive in the general election, but coverage shifted markedly when the debates began. Obama fared much better in September, while Romney had the edge in October, according to a new study by the Project for Excellence in Journalism.