Romney Leads GOP Contest, Trails in Matchup with Obama
Mitt Romney has retaken a significant lead nationally in the race for the Republican presidential nomination, even as he has fallen further behind Barack Obama in a general election matchup. Obama’s job approval rating has reached 50% for the first time since last May, shortly after the killing of Osama bin Laden.
Santorum and Gingrich Split Evangelical Vote in Southern Primaries
Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich finished in a virtual tie for first place among evangelical voters in both Alabama, where evangelicals comprised 75% of the electorate, and Mississippi, where evangelicals accounted for 80% of all GOP primary voters.
Religion in the Super Tuesday Primaries
Exit polls from Super Tuesday primaries show that Mitt Romney continues to struggle among evangelicals, and Rick Santorum is yet to win among Catholics in any state where exit polling was conducted.
Romney Struggles with Evangelicals While Santorum Trails with Catholics
In the 10 GOP presidential caucuses and primaries held on Super Tuesday, Mitt Romney continued to get significantly less support from white born-again and evangelical voters. Rick Santorum has yet to achieve an outright victory among Catholics in any state for which data are available.
GOP Race Is Rallying Democrats
Currently, 49% of Democrats say that as they learn more about the GOP candidates, their impression of Obama is getting better. Just 36% of Democrats expressed this view in December, before the Republican primaries began.
Romney’s Wins in GOP Contests Depended on Non-Evangelical Voters
In the caucuses and primaries that Mitt Romney has won so far in the race for the Republican nomination, Romney’s wins have come on the strength of his support among non-evangelical voters.
Religion and the 2012 Republican Primaries: Arizona and Michigan
The vote in the GOP presidential primaries in Michigan and Arizona continued a pattern where Mitt Romney’s support was weaker among born-again/evangelical voters than among non-evangelicals while Rick Santorum received his strongest support from evangelicals.
Romney’s Storyline Improved, Santorum’s Became More Mixed on Eve of Arizona, Michigan
The frontrunners’ fortunes in the media changed significantly last week as Mitt Romney rebounded from very negative coverage the previous week and Rick Santorum saw his narrative turn decidedly less positive. Meanwhile, Newt Gingrich continues to suffer from both unflattering coverage and little of it.
The Forces at Work in the 2012 Elections
Andrew Kohut, president of the Pew Research Center, answers questions about the 2012 presidential campaign so far and some of the trends that will shape this year’s congressional elections.
Santorum Catches Romney in GOP Race
Rick Santorum’s has pulled into a virtual tie with Mitt Romney in the race for the Republican presidential nomination in polling conducted Feb. 8-12. Barack Obama holds sizable leads over Santorum, Romney and Newt Gingrich in general election matchups.