U.S. Politics Jul. 24, 2014

GOP Has Midterm Voter Engagement Advantage

Republicans hold a clear advantage in voter engagement in this fall’s midterm elections, but it is more modest than it was in 2010. And anti-incumbent sentiment remains high.

Fact Tank Jul. 24, 2014

Voter turnout always drops off for midterm elections, but why?

Voter turnout, no matter how measured, is consistently lower in midterm elections compared to presidential election years. Political scientists aren’t sure why, but have some ideas.

Fact Tank Jun. 17, 2014

A dug-in electorate bodes poorly for the Democrats in November

Since the Affordable Care Act was passed nearly four years ago, a plurality of Americans have disapproved of it. Since the onset of the Great Recession 6 years ago, more than 80% of Americans have rated economic conditions as only fair or poor. And since winning a second term, Barack Obama’s approval score has mostly been in the mid-40s or lower.

U.S. Politics May. 5, 2014

Midterm Election Indicators Daunting for Democrats

With the midterm elections six months away, 47% of registered voters support the Republican candidate in their district while 43% favor the Democrat. And more see their vote as a vote against President Obama than for him.

Fact Tank Apr. 10, 2014

What kinds of Supreme Court cases interest Americans? Not campaign finance

The public paid relatively little attention to last week’s major Supreme Court ruling striking down campaign contribution limits, but other high-profile cases do get a lot of attention.

U.S. Politics Apr. 10, 2014

GOP Voters More Likely to See ACA as ‘Very Important’ to Their Midterm Vote

In looking ahead to this fall’s elections, Republicans are more likely than Democrats to view a candidate’s position on the Affordable Care Act as very important to their vote.

Apr. 9, 2014

Asian American voter turnout lags behind other groups; some non-voters say they’re ‘too busy’

Asian-American voters lag whites and blacks in turnout in midterm elections, an analysis of Census Bureau data shows.

U.S. Politics Mar. 30, 2014

Democrats Face Challenges in This Year’s Midterm Elections

While Democrats are more popular than the GOP among the general public, the party faces a number of challenges in November, writes Andrew Kohut in the Wall Street Journal.

Fact Tank Mar. 5, 2014

Public’s anti-incumbent mood hasn’t always predicted big electoral swings

Despite surveys showing anti-incumbent sentiments at or near all-time highs, most members of Congress appear to have little to worry about.

Fact Tank Jan. 23, 2014

Anti-poll tax amendment is 50 years old today

The value in today’s dollars of the annual poll tax once imposed by several Southern states.