U.S. Politics Dec. 13, 2013

Republicans More Optimistic than Democrats about Midterms

Less than a year out from the 2014 midterm elections, Republicans are more optimistic than Democrats about their party’s electoral prospects. But the “expectations gap” is far more modest now than it was prior to the 2010 election, when Republicans were brimming with confidence, or 2006, when most Democrats anticipated a midterm victory.

Fact Tank Dec. 4, 2013

Harvard poll finds Millennials have turned sour on Obama

A new survey by Harvard University’s Institute of Politics finds that 18-to-29 year olds now have a more negative view of his presidency. But the declines are not greater than those of other age groups.

Fact Tank Nov. 8, 2013

Spending by nonparty groups sharply higher so far this election cycle

The amount that nonparty groups have spent so far in the 2013-14 election cycle.

Pew Research Center Nov. 8, 2013

Andrew Kohut: The GOP Is in Better Shape Than You Think

By Andrew Kohut Tucked away in recent polls—which have documented the extraordinary anger directed at the Republican Party during the shutdown crisis—are measures of clear disappointment with the Democratic Party. The disappointment is substantial, and it raises big questions about the 2014 midterms. The Republican Party’s favorable ratings fell substantially in most every national survey […]

Fact Tank Nov. 6, 2013

Evangelicals’ support not enough to turn tide for Cuccinelli in Virginia governor race

Despite strong support for Republican Ken Cuccinelli from white evangelical voters, Democrat Terry McAuliffe defeated Cuccinelli on Tuesday in Virginia’s 2013 gubernatorial election by a 48%-45% margin. In New Jersey, Republican Chris Christie won re-election over Democrat Barbara Buono (60% to 38%) with strong support from both Protestants and Catholics. Virginia Eight-in-ten white evangelical voters […]

Fact Tank Nov. 5, 2013

Only 1 in 7 House districts were competitive in 2012

In last year’s elections, winners won by at least 10 points in all but 62 of the 435 House districts.

Fact Tank Nov. 5, 2013

As Americans head to the polls, state and local governments viewed favorably

More than half of Americans express a favorable view of their state government.

Fact Tank Oct. 18, 2013

Democrats hold small lead over Republicans in early look at midterm elections

More than a year ahead of the 2014 congressional elections, Democrats have a six-point edge when it comes to which party voters would support in their districts.

Fact Tank Sep. 23, 2013

Study: Early voting associated with lower turnout

The country’s most widely adopted reform designed to make voting easier may lower the chances that an individual voter will go to the polls, according to a new study.

Fact Tank Sep. 19, 2013

How the Lehman Bros. crisis impacted the 2008 presidential race

How the economic disaster that occurred just weeks before Election Day changed the media’s campaign coverage, and perhaps the outcome, of the presidential race.