U.S. Politics Oct. 31, 2010

GOP Likely to Capture Control of House

Republicans continue to hold a solid lead in preferences for Tuesday’s midterm elections among likely voters — enough so as to suggest they will win control of the House. The GOP owes its lead to strong backing from independents and record-levels of engagement among its partisans.

Media & News Oct. 26, 2010

Media Ride Electoral Wave

The midterms accounted for 38% of the total newshole, up substantially from 28% the previous week, and registering as the No. 1 story in all five media sectors.

U.S. Politics Oct. 25, 2010

Midterm Snapshot: Enthusiasm For Obama Reelection Bid Greater Than For Reagan In 1982

Two years ahead of the next presidential election, the public is divided (47% yes, 42% no ) over whether Barack Obama should run for a second term. However, this is better than the outlook for Ronald Reagan in August 1982

U.S. Politics Oct. 21, 2010

Democrats Stirring but Fail to Match GOP Support, Engagement

As the 2010 midterm elections near, Republican engagement and enthusiasm continue at record levels, outpacing even improved Democratic showings on these indicators. The growing popularity of early voting — about a quarter of voters nationally say they plan to vote before Election Day — gives Democrats less time to make up ground and there is no indication that their voter mobilization efforts are outmatching Republican efforts.

Media & News Oct. 13, 2010

Midterms Coverage Doubles Economy Coverage

The midterm elections have registered as the top news story for four consecutive weeks, and have accounted for fully a quarter of the overall newshole in that time, easily outdistancing the No. 2 story in that period, the economy, at 12%.

U.S. Politics Oct. 7, 2010

Lagging Youth Enthusiasm Could Hurt Democrats in 2010

Millennials continue to be among the strongest backers of Democratic candidates this fall, though their support for the Democratic Party has slipped since 2008. But young voters have given far less thought to the coming elections than have older voters, and this gap is larger than in previous midterms.

U.S. Politics Oct. 6, 2010

Possible Negatives for Candidates: Vote for Bank Bailout, Palin Support

Two factors have emerged as major potential negatives for congressional candidates: TARP and Sarah Palin. Americans are split over whether they are more likely to vote for candidates who supported the health care law.

Hispanic Oct. 5, 2010

Latinos and the 2010 Elections

In a year when support for Democratic candidates has eroded, the party’s standing among Latinos appears as strong as ever. However, Hispanic voters appear to be less motivated than others to go to the polls.

Media & News Oct. 5, 2010

For the Media, it’s the Elections, Stupid

The midterms were a quarter of the newshole last week, and have been the third most covered story of the year, behind only the economy and the Gulf oil spill.

U.S. Politics Oct. 5, 2010

Democrats Struggle to Avoid Wipeout from Electoral Wave

Less than two years ago, Democrats basked in the glow of an impressive political triumph. Today, they are contemplating the very real prospect of losing their House majority. What happened?