Getting It Wrong
Several factors deserve exploration, but one should not ignore the possibility of the longstanding pattern of pre-election polls overstating support for black candidates among white voters, particularly white voters who are poor.
Only Half of Public Can Name Both Iowa Winners, but Many Complain of Too Much Media Coverage
In the wake of his Iowa victory, Barack Obama for the first time supplanted Hillary Clinton as the most visible presidential candidate.
22 Governors Weigh in on Presidential Race
Candidates covet endorsements by state chief executives, and so far 22 governors have announced their choices.
At the Start of the Primary Season, Republicans Run Neck and Neck Nationally, Clinton Clings to Solid Lead
On the eve of the Iowa caucuses, Giuliani’s once solid lead in nationwide polls has vanished; religion has become a larger factor for GOP voters as Huckabee has become better known. The Democratic contest remains largely stable nationwide despite close state races.