U.S. Politics Jul. 10, 2008

Likely Rise In Voter Turnout Bodes Well For Democrats

Even with a partisan enthusiasm gap, voter interest is already as high as in November of recent elections, two trends that may significantly alter the composition of the eventual electorate in the Democrats’ favor. The proportion of swing voters is also up compared with four years ago. Nearly half of independents (47%) are undecided or may change their minds, up from 28% in June 2004.

Media & News May. 29, 2008

Character and the Primaries of 2008

A new analysis of media coverage during the first ten weeks of the 2008 primary season finds the dominant personal narratives about Obama and Clinton were almost identical in tone, and were both twice as positive as negative. The coverage of McCain’s character was less positive than that of either Democratic candidate.

U.S. Politics May. 29, 2008

In Tight General Election, McCain’s Negatives Mostly Political, Obama’s More Personal

While Obama has opened up a wide lead in the Democratic primary, he now runs about even against McCain. The tightening general election shows some sullying of Obama’s personal image over the past three months, which is in some measure a negative reaction from frustrated Clinton supporters. McCain’s image has also become more negative since February, however, unlike Obama, those who disapprove cite his political beliefs.

U.S. Politics May. 1, 2008

Obama’s Lead Over Clinton Disappears; Unfavorables Rise for Both Candidates

Barack Obama’s slipping support for the Democratic nomination reflects a modest decline in his personal image rather than improved impressions of Hillary Clinton. Both retain advantage over McCain as economy tops public’s concerns.

U.S. Politics Apr. 24, 2008

More Americans View Campaign As Too Negative

Barack Obama’s ‘bitter’ comment registered widely but just 29% of Americans say they paid very close attention to news about the presidential campaign last week, the lowest percentage recorded since December 2007.

U.S. Politics Apr. 7, 2008

That’s What I Like About Me

Obama’s high favorable ratings are more influenced by how he makes voters feel than by specific characteristics they attributed to him. Clinton’s image, in contrast, is driven by opinions about her own qualities.

U.S. Politics Mar. 27, 2008

Obama Weathers the Wright Storm, Clinton Faces Credibility Problem

Obama’s personal image remains more favorable than Clinton’s – and he retains a 10-point advantage over her in the race for the nomination. But certain beliefs and attitudes among older, white, working-class Democrats are associated with his lower levels of support among this group.

U.S. Politics Mar. 3, 2008

Getting to Know Them

If they turn out to be their party’s nominees, both Barack Obama and John McCain need to educate voters about themselves in some pretty basic, and challenging, ways.

U.S. Politics Feb. 25, 2008

In November, Will Age Matter?

John McCain’s age has remained notably absent as a campaign issue, but earlier polling data suggest it could become a big issue for the Arizona senator come November.

U.S. Politics Feb. 13, 2008

Obama Inspiring but Inexperienced, Clinton Prepared to Lead but “Hard to Like”

While Democrats and independents who lean Democratic believe Clinton is prepared to lead, Obama has a clear lead on three positive campaign themes: inspiration, change, and honesty.