U.S. Politics Nov. 2, 2008

Obama Leads McCain 52% to 46% in Campaign’s Final Days

The Pew Research Center’s final pre-election poll of 2,587 likely voters finds 49% supporting or leaning to Obama, 42% for McCain; 2% for minor party candidates and 7% undecided. When the undecided vote is allocated, Obama holds a 52% to 46% lead over McCain. The survey was conducted from Oct. 29 to Nov. 1.

U.S. Politics Oct. 31, 2008

Democrats Post Gains in Affiliation Across Age Cohorts

The proportion of voters identifying with the Democratic Party has grown significantly since the 2004 election, and the shift has been particularly dramatic among younger voters.

Religion Oct. 30, 2008

Will Obama Win the White Catholic Vote?

White Catholics have traditionally been swing voters but their recent apparent shift from support for McCain to Obama was both sharp and swift. What explains it?

Hispanic Oct. 29, 2008

Among Florida’s Hispanics, Voter Registration Swings Democratic

Unlike in the rest of the country, the Latino vote in the Sunshine State has tended to be heavily Republican; but changing politics and demographics have produced a substantial shift in electoral rolls.

U.S. Politics Oct. 28, 2008

McCain Support Continues Downward Spiral

A breakdown of voting intentions by demographic groups shows that since mid- September, McCain’s support has declined significantly across most voting blocs.

U.S. Politics Oct. 23, 2008

Liberal Democrats Top Conservative Republicans in Donations, Activism

With less than two weeks to go before Election Day, voters remain riveted to the presidential campaign. But liberal Democrats are engaging in far more activism than other partisan and ideological groups.

U.S. Politics Oct. 21, 2008

Doubts Grow About McCain’s Judgment, Age and Campaign

Obama is inspiring more confidence on several key issues, including Iraq and terrorism, than he did before the debates, and his margin over McCain as the candidate best able to improve economic conditions has grown.

U.S. Politics Oct. 6, 2008

Post-Debate: Palin Still Seen as Unqualified, a Bump for Biden

Impressions of Sarah Palin have changed little since her debate with Joe Biden according to a special re-interview of voters this weekend, but opinions of Joe Biden rose substantially.

U.S. Politics Oct. 1, 2008

Obama Boosts Leadership Image and Gains Significant Lead Over McCain

The Illinois senator, helped by the debate, has been able to erase concerns about his ability to lead, to widen his advantage on economic issues and to move to a significant lead in swing states. There has been a broad-based decline in the number of voters who view Palin as qualified to become president.

U.S. Politics Sep. 25, 2008

Uncertain Times

In every recent election the public has accurately picked the winner by this time in the cycle. But not this year.