How the Faithful Voted: 2012 Preliminary Analysis
Obama’s margin of victory was much smaller than in 2008 and he lost ground among white evangelical Protestants and white Catholics. But the basic religious contours of the 2012 electorate resemble recent elections.
One-in-Five Registered Voters Talk About How They Voted on Social Media
Fully 22% of registered voters have told others how they voted on a social networking site, while 30% have been encouraged to vote for a candidate by family and friends and 20% have encouraged others to vote.
Obama Gains Edge in Campaign’s Final Days
Barack Obama has edged ahead of Mitt Romney in the final days of the presidential campaign. Obama holds a 48% to 45% lead among likely voters. The Pew Research Center’s final estimate of the national popular vote is Obama 50% and Romney 47%, when the undecided vote is allocated between the two candidates.
Nonvoters: Who They Are, What They Think
A sizable minority of adults choose not to vote or are unable to vote. They will affect the outcome of the presidential election by their absence. Who are they?
In Deadlocked Race, Neither Side Has Ground Advantage
Just as the presidential race is deadlocked, the candidates are running about even when it comes to the ground game. Voters report being contacted at about the same rates by each campaign. And neither candidate has a clear advantage among early voters.
Presidential Race Dead Even; Romney Maintains Turnout Edge
As the presidential campaign enters its final week, the race is even among likely voters: 47% favor Barack Obama and the same percentage supports Mitt Romney. While Romney holds a turnout advantage, Obama leads on many personal characteristics and issues.
Fully 10% of Campaign Donors Say They Contributed Via Mobile
Democrats are more likely to contribute online or from their cell phone, while Republicans are more likely to contribute in person, by phone call, or via regular mail.
Republicans Increasingly Positive About Presidential Campaign
Republicans express increasingly positive opinions about the presidential campaign and are now about as likely as Democrats to view the campaign as interesting and informative.
Catholic and Unaffiliated Latinos Support Obama; Evangelicals Divided
Three-quarters of Latino Catholics and eight-in-ten religiously unaffiliated Latinos support President Barack Obama’s re-election, while just 50% of Latino evangelical Protestants prefer Obama and 39% support Mitt Romney.
Latino Voters Support Obama by 3-1 Ratio, But Are Less Certain than Others about Voting
Latino registered voters prefer President Obama over Republican challenger Mitt Romney by 69% to 21%; express growing satisfaction with the direction of the nation and the state of their personal finances; but are somewhat less certain than non-Hispanics that they will vote in this election.