Religious Groups’ Presidential Candidate Preferences
A new analysis of recent surveys show Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani as the preferred candidates among key religious groups. Giuliani, though, garners considerably less support from white evangelical Protestants than he does from white mainline Protestants and white Catholics.
A Year Ahead, Republicans Face Tough Political Terrain
A year before the 2008 presidential election, most major national opinion trends decidedly favor the Democrats and discontent with the state of the nation is markedly greater than it was four years ago. Also, Republicans have become less likely to say that their party is doing a good job standing up for its traditional positions.
The Oprah Factor in Campaign ’08
Do political endorsements matter? Generally they have little impact on voter preferences, but there’s no telling whether Oprah Winfrey can do for Obama what she has done for countless books and products.
Black Enthusiasm for Clinton and Obama Leaves Little Room for Edwards
The popularity of the two top contenders among key segments of the Democratic electorate may help explain why Edwards’s populist platform has not drawn wider support so far.
A Study in Contrasts: Clinton and Guiliani
Sen. Hillary Clinton is by far the most popular presidential candidate among her own party’s voters, but among the general public, she has one of the lowest favorable ratings of the leading candidates. In sharp contrast, the front-running Republican candidate, Rudy Giuliani, evokes relatively modest enthusiasm from the GOP base, but is as broadly popular with all voters as any candidate in either party.
Democratic Candidates Labor to Win Union Support
Seven Democratic candidates met on Soldier Field in Chicago on Tuesday to address a predominantly union audience at a candidate forum sponsored by the AFL-CIO. How did candidate views stack up with public opinion?
A Summer of Discontent with Washington
All three branches of the federal government are under fire from the American public. Just 29% approve of President Bush’s job performance while the proportion with a favorable view of Congress has declined 12 percentage points since January. Even favorable opinions of the U.S. Supreme Court have fallen, from 72% in January to 57% currently.
2008 May Come Down to Ohio — Again
In his first column for Stateline.org, journalist Louis Jacobson samples the presidential leanings of the 19 “purple” states that are neither Republican “red” nor Democratic “blue.” Despite consistent Democratic leads in national polling, election 2008 appears to be just as close as were the 2000 and 2004 elections for the White House.
Religious Republicans: Hanging Tough with Bush
A dilemma for GOP Presidential Candidates: They’re distancing themselves from Bush, but may still need strong backing from his faithful church-going supporters.
Bloomberg Well Known, But of Limited Appeal for Now
Michael Bloomberg has created some excitement in the political world about a possible run for the presidency by dropping his Republican affiliation. But a recent nationwide Pew voter survey found that while the New York mayor is relatively well known, his appeal is very modest at this point.