A Look at the Numbers
So far, the 2008 primaries and caucuses have been anything but predictable — comebacks, fallbacks, not to mention surprised pollsters. But a closer look reveals some common themes that have emerged.
A Portrait of the Latino Vote in Eight “Super Tuesday” States
Hispanic voters could be crucial to the outcome of several of this week’s primaries and caucuses. Here are fact sheets describing the socioeconomic characteristics of eligible Latino voters in each of the eight states with sizeable Hispanic populations.
Independent Voters Vexed at Polls?
Some 4.5 million independent voters in six states (Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, New York, Oklahoma and Utah) will be completely locked out of their states’ presidential primaries on Feb. 5.
The Impact of “Cell-Onlys” on Public Opinion Polls
A new Pew study finds that on key political measures such as presidential approval, Iraq policy, presidential primary voter preference and party affiliation, respondents reached on cell phones hold attitudes very similar to those reached on landline telephones.
The South Carolina Democratic Primary in Black and White
This time, the pre-election polls understated Barack Obama’s support among both white and black voters.
Nearly lost in the blizzard of recent poll reports were the findings of a Gallup survey that the current GOP frontrunner, John McCain, might well give each of the two Democratic frontrunners a run for their money.
Election-Year Economic Ratings Lowest Since ’92
Republicans and Democrats agree the economy should be a top priority for the president and Congress, but they differ more than ever on the importance of other domestic issues — such as global warming and health insurance for the uninsured.
Will Evangelical Voters Rally Around a Single Candidate in 2008?
As voting patterns and preferences among evangelicals have become more fluid, their electoral impact may extend beyond the primaries and affect both parties in November. Two experts from the Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life discuss this critical voting bloc.
Mind the Gender Gap
Does Hilary Clinton have a problem with male voters or does Barack Obama simply appeal more to men?
In GOP Primaries: Three Victors, Three Constituencies
The Republican nomination contest is being increasingly shaped by ideology and religion, while the dynamics of the Democratic race are more heavily influenced by class, race and gender.