Tracking the Race Factor
This week’s primaries show that, results in Wisconsin aside, pre-primary polls may either over- or underestimate support for Obama depending on state racial demographics.
Obama Has the Lead, but Potential Problems Too
Obama has moved out to a broad-based advantage over Clinton in the national Democratic primary contest. Public attitudes about the war in Iraq have turned more positive, a favorable development for McCain.
The Hispanic Vote in the 2008 Democratic Presidential Primaries
As the Democratic nomination contest heads for a showdown in Texas on March 4, Latinos may be a pivotal constituency in a state where they make up a quarter of the electorate.
Young Voters in the 2008 Presidential Primaries
Beyond the vote, the exit polls point to interesting differences — and similarities — between younger and older Democratic voters.
Patterns of Distinction
Super Tuesday revealed distinct – and somewhat suprising — voting patterns across the nation that may shape the course ahead in the closely contested Democratic race.
Does McCain Need Evangelical Voters?
Sizeable numbers of white evangelical Protestants are already part of McCain’s coalition despite opposition from some religious conservatives. On the Democratic side, Clinton will need to mobilize black Protestants while Obama has not connected with Jewish voters.
Super Tuesday Results Suggest Race Card May Be A Joker in the Primary Deck
Race still plays a role in U.S. politics but it showed up in surprising ways in tallies from Democratic primary elections so far this year.
McCain’s Support Soars, Democratic Race Tightens
Both Barack Obama and John McCain have gained considerable popularity in recent weeks with Obama’s gains concentrated among white, middle-income and moderate Democrats.
A Look at the Numbers
So far, the 2008 primaries and caucuses have been anything but predictable — comebacks, fallbacks, not to mention surprised pollsters. But a closer look reveals some common themes that have emerged.
A Portrait of the Latino Vote in Eight “Super Tuesday” States
Hispanic voters could be crucial to the outcome of several of this week’s primaries and caucuses. Here are fact sheets describing the socioeconomic characteristics of eligible Latino voters in each of the eight states with sizeable Hispanic populations.