U.S. Politics Oct. 21, 2010

Democrats Stirring but Fail to Match GOP Support, Engagement

As the 2010 midterm elections near, Republican engagement and enthusiasm continue at record levels, outpacing even improved Democratic showings on these indicators. The growing popularity of early voting — about a quarter of voters nationally say they plan to vote before Election Day — gives Democrats less time to make up ground and there is no indication that their voter mobilization efforts are outmatching Republican efforts.

U.S. Politics Oct. 6, 2010

Possible Negatives for Candidates: Vote for Bank Bailout, Palin Support

Two factors have emerged as major potential negatives for congressional candidates: TARP and Sarah Palin. Americans are split over whether they are more likely to vote for candidates who supported the health care law.

Pew Research Center Apr. 7, 2010

Going Negative in November — Can it Win for the GOP?

In its Topic A feature for Sunday April 4, 2010, the Washington Post asked several experts — among them the Pew Research Center’s Director of Survey Research Scott Keeter — whether the Republican Party would win in November with a negative strategy.

Internet & Tech Apr. 15, 2009

The Internet’s Role in Campaign 2008

Three-quarters (74%) of internet users went online during the 2008 election to take part in, or get news and information about the 2008 campaign. This represents 55% of the entire U.S. adult population.

U.S. Politics Nov. 13, 2008

High Marks for Campaign, High Bar for Obama

A week after the election, voters are feeling good about themselves, the presidential campaign and Barack Obama. Looking ahead, they have high expectations for the Obama administration, with two-thirds predicting that he will have a successful first term.

U.S. Politics Nov. 5, 2008

Inside Obama’s Sweeping Victory

Barack Obama captured the White House on the strength of a substantial electoral shift toward the Democratic Party and by winning a number of key groups in the middle of the electorate. In particular, the overwhelming backing of younger voters was a critical factor in Obama’s victory, according to an analysis of National Election Pool exit poll data.

U.S. Politics Nov. 2, 2008

Obama Leads McCain 52% to 46% in Campaign’s Final Days

The Pew Research Center’s final pre-election poll of 2,587 likely voters finds 49% supporting or leaning to Obama, 42% for McCain; 2% for minor party candidates and 7% undecided. When the undecided vote is allocated, Obama holds a 52% to 46% lead over McCain. The survey was conducted from Oct. 29 to Nov. 1.

U.S. Politics Oct. 30, 2008

The Element of Surprise

As recently as a month ago, this analyst and the American public itself were throwing up our hands and saying we can’t figure this one out — too many intangibles. No more.

U.S. Politics Oct. 23, 2008

Liberal Democrats Top Conservative Republicans in Donations, Activism

With less than two weeks to go before Election Day, voters remain riveted to the presidential campaign. But liberal Democrats are engaging in far more activism than other partisan and ideological groups.

U.S. Politics Oct. 21, 2008

Doubts Grow About McCain’s Judgment, Age and Campaign

Obama is inspiring more confidence on several key issues, including Iraq and terrorism, than he did before the debates, and his margin over McCain as the candidate best able to improve economic conditions has grown.