Obama vs. Romney: Which One Can Defy Political History to Win?
Barack Obama and Mitt Romney both carry so much political baggage that one or the other will have to defy modern political history to win in November.
Super PACs Having Negative Impact, Say Voters Aware of ‘Citizens United’ Ruling
Most voters who are aware of the 2010 Supreme Court decision allowing corporations and individuals to spend as much money as they want on political advertising say the impact has been negative.
Few GOP Voters Would Be Swayed by Endorsements
Political endorsements by prominent Republicans would provide little help for GOP candidates in the primaries and might be more of a liability than a benefit in a general election campaign.
Twitter and the Campaign
The political conversation on Twitter is markedly different than that on blogs—and both are decidedly different than the political narrative presented by the mainstream press, according to a new study by the Pew Research Center’s Project for Excellence in Journalism that analyzed more than 20 million tweets, the online conversation and traditional news coverage about the campaign.
The Internet and Campaign 2010
More than half of U.S. adults used the internet for political purposes in the last cycle, far surpassing the 2006 midterm contest. They hold mixed views about the impact of the internet: It enables extremism, while helping the like-minded find each other. It provides diverse sources, but makes it harder to find truthful sources.
Twitter and Social Networking in the 2010 Midterm Elections
More than one-in-five online Americans engaged with the 2010 midterm elections or campaign on Twitter or social networking sites; Republicans — especially Tea Party supporters — caught up with Democrats in social media use.
Mixed Reactions to Republican Midterm Win, Policies
Compared with four years ago, there is less excitement and optimism about the victorious party and its plans following the GOP’s overwhelmingly successful Election Day. Also, while the public expresses more conservative views about the role of government than it did just two years ago, on major policy decisions that will arise in coming months, opinion is closely divided.
Democrats Stirring but Fail to Match GOP Support, Engagement
As the 2010 midterm elections near, Republican engagement and enthusiasm continue at record levels, outpacing even improved Democratic showings on these indicators. The growing popularity of early voting — about a quarter of voters nationally say they plan to vote before Election Day — gives Democrats less time to make up ground and there is no indication that their voter mobilization efforts are outmatching Republican efforts.
Possible Negatives for Candidates: Vote for Bank Bailout, Palin Support
Two factors have emerged as major potential negatives for congressional candidates: TARP and Sarah Palin. Americans are split over whether they are more likely to vote for candidates who supported the health care law.
Going Negative in November — Can it Win for the GOP?
In its Topic A feature for Sunday April 4, 2010, the Washington Post asked several experts — among them the Pew Research Center’s Director of Survey Research Scott Keeter — whether the Republican Party would win in November with a negative strategy.