In Their Own Words: Why Voters Support – and Have Concerns About – Clinton and Trump
Presidential approval a stronger indicator of voter choice than satisfaction with the country
When it comes to who people plan to vote for, presidential approval is a much stronger indicator than satisfaction with the state of the nation.
Educational divide in vote preferences on track to be wider than in recent elections
The contest for president between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump is marked by an educational divide that is far wider than in past elections.
Already-low voter satisfaction with choice of candidates falls even further
Voter satisfaction with choice of candidates at lowest point in decades: 63% of registered voters say they are not too or not at all satisfied.
5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls
Some of the better-known statistical rules of thumb that a smart consumer might think apply in polls are more nuanced than they seem. In other words, as is so often the case in life, it’s complicated.
House seats rarely flip from one party to the other
Big partisan shifts in the House of Representatives happen, but not often. In only three of the past 12 election cycles has one party posted a net gain of more than 30 seats, and on average 93% of House members who seek re-election are voted back into office.
For many voters, it’s not which presidential candidate they’re for but which they’re against
A significant share of both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump supporters say their vote is based more on which candidate they are against rather than which one they are for.
U.S. immigrant deportations declined in 2014, but remain near record high
The Obama administration deported 414,481 unauthorized immigrants in fiscal 2014, a drop from the prior year driven by a decline in deportations of immigrants with a criminal conviction.
This may be the last presidential election dominated by Boomers and prior generations
Recent presidential elections have been dominated by voters from the Baby Boom and previous generations. That may change this November.
Opinions on Gun Policy and the 2016 Campaign
For the past several years, large majorities of both Democrats and Republicans have favored making private gun sales and sales at gun shows subject to background checks.