U.S. Politics Sep. 25, 2014

No Sign of GOP Tide in Congressional Voting Intentions

The GOP’s relatively thin 47-44 lead in the current midterm polls strongly suggests that this is not a “tide” election.

Fact Tank Sep. 8, 2014

Latino vote is small in nearly all states with hot Senate races

President Obama has delayed any executive action on immigration policy until after this year’s midterm elections. The president noted that part of the reason for this decision was to “make sure we get it right.” Meanwhile several analysts have said that any executive action might energize conservatives and jeopardize the Senate’s Democratic majority given the […]

Fact Tank Jun. 17, 2014

A dug-in electorate bodes poorly for the Democrats in November

Since the Affordable Care Act was passed nearly four years ago, a plurality of Americans have disapproved of it. Since the onset of the Great Recession 6 years ago, more than 80% of Americans have rated economic conditions as only fair or poor. And since winning a second term, Barack Obama’s approval score has mostly been in the mid-40s or lower.

U.S. Politics May. 5, 2014

Midterm Election Indicators Daunting for Democrats

With the midterm elections six months away, 47% of registered voters support the Republican candidate in their district while 43% favor the Democrat. And more see their vote as a vote against President Obama than for him.

Apr. 9, 2014

Asian American voter turnout lags behind other groups; some non-voters say they’re ‘too busy’

Asian-American voters lag whites and blacks in turnout in midterm elections, an analysis of Census Bureau data shows.

U.S. Politics Mar. 30, 2014

Democrats Face Challenges in This Year’s Midterm Elections

While Democrats are more popular than the GOP among the general public, the party faces a number of challenges in November, writes Andrew Kohut in the Wall Street Journal.

U.S. Politics Jan. 7, 2014

In New Year, Half Are Looking Forward to Midterm Elections

As 2014 begins and the midterm election campaigns heat up, about half of the public (51%) is especially looking forward to November’s congressional elections while 49% are not looking forward to them.

U.S. Politics Dec. 13, 2013

Republicans More Optimistic than Democrats about Midterms

Less than a year out from the 2014 midterm elections, Republicans are more optimistic than Democrats about their party’s electoral prospects. But the “expectations gap” is far more modest now than it was prior to the 2010 election, when Republicans were brimming with confidence, or 2006, when most Democrats anticipated a midterm victory.