GOP Leads on Key Issues; Dems Have More Positive Image
The GOP has the advantage over Democrats on the economy, terrorism and the budget deficit. But Democrats are widely seen as more empathetic and willing to work with those across the aisle.
Who will turn out to vote in November? A look at likely voters through the lens of the Political Typology
An analysis of our eight Political Typology groups finds that those most likely to vote in the midterms are the three who are most ideological, highly politically engaged and overwhelmingly partisan.
Likely Voters More Ideologically Polarized than Public Overall
While consistent conservatives and liberals are much more likely to vote than those with mixed views, the advantage at the moment goes to the right: Consistent conservatives are 15 percentage points more likely to vote this fall than consistent liberals.
Mapping the Latino Electorate by Congressional District
A record 25.2 million Latinos will be eligible to vote in the 2014 midterm elections. See how the share of Latino voters varies by congressional district in our interactive map.
Mapping the Latino Electorate by State
A record 25.2 million Latinos will be eligible to vote in the 2014 midterm elections. See how the share of Latino voters varies by state in our interactive map.
Latino Voters and the 2014 Midterms
A record 25.2 million Latinos are eligible to vote in the 2014 midterms, or 11% of eligible voters nationwide. But in many states with close races this year, Latinos make up a smaller share of eligible voters.
For many Americans, a ‘meh’ midterm
Midterm elections rarely excite the general public, but 2014 is shaping up to be an especially underwhelming cycle for many Americans.
No Sign of GOP Tide in Congressional Voting Intentions
The GOP’s relatively thin 47-44 lead in the current midterm polls strongly suggests that this is not a “tide” election.
Latino vote is small in nearly all states with hot Senate races
President Obama has delayed any executive action on immigration policy until after this year’s midterm elections. The president noted that part of the reason for this decision was to “make sure we get it right.” Meanwhile several analysts have said that any executive action might energize conservatives and jeopardize the Senate’s Democratic majority given the […]
A dug-in electorate bodes poorly for the Democrats in November
Since the Affordable Care Act was passed nearly four years ago, a plurality of Americans have disapproved of it. Since the onset of the Great Recession 6 years ago, more than 80% of Americans have rated economic conditions as only fair or poor. And since winning a second term, Barack Obama’s approval score has mostly been in the mid-40s or lower.