U.S. Politics Aug. 2, 2010

Earmarks Could Help Candidates in Midterms; Palin and Tea Party Connections Could Hurt

Across party lines, the public sees earmarking by their congressional candidates as more of an asset than a liability. Americans are divided on the value of Obama in November, while both Palin’s support and Tea Party affiliation are seen by more as negative than positive. On energy, public backs a wide range of goals and policies.

U.S. Politics Jul. 1, 2010

Voting Intentions Even, Turnout Indicators Favor GOP

Voters younger than age 30 favor the Democratic candidate in their district by a wide margin (57% to 32%), yet only half of young voters say they are absolutely certain to vote. Voters ages 50 and older favor the Republican candidate in their district by double digits (11 points) and roughly eight-in-ten (79%) say they are absolutely certain to vote.

U.S. Politics Jun. 3, 2010

Seniors are Strongest Advocates for Change in 2010

Older Americans have a more negative view of incumbents, are more likely to vote for a candidate with no elective experience and less likely to support those who compromise than are Americans younger than age 65.

U.S. Politics May. 25, 2010

What Kind of Candidates are Voters Looking for in November?

Americans are less likely to vote for a candidate who supported TARP, more likely to back one who compromises, and split on health care supporters. Neither party has an advantage on the economy, but the GOP has improved on several issues. Sharp rise in BP criticism over the oil spill.

U.S. Politics Apr. 15, 2010

The Tea Party’s Effect on the Midterms?

If you are a Republican, what’s not to like about the Tea Party movement? From this vantage point, a number of risks seem possible, if not probable.

Pew Research Center Apr. 7, 2010

Going Negative in November — Can it Win for the GOP?

In its Topic A feature for Sunday April 4, 2010, the Washington Post asked several experts — among them the Pew Research Center’s Director of Survey Research Scott Keeter — whether the Republican Party would win in November with a negative strategy.

Pew Research Center Mar. 11, 2010

Millennials, the Midterms and the Political Landscape Beyond

At a conference at the Newseum in Washington, D.C. on Wednesday, Feb. 24, 2010, Pew Research Center analysts and outside experts discussed research findings about the Millennial generation, the American teens and twenty-somethings now making the passage into adulthood. The last of three sessions addressed the question of whether Millennials, who rocked the vote in 2008, will show up at the polls this November and how they may shape the political landscape beyond?

U.S. Politics Feb. 22, 2010

Democrats’ Gloom and Doom Is Premature

While there is every reason to believe that the party is in trouble and will lose seats this year, there are no solid data that would justify a view shared by many here in Washington that the Democrats are destined to lose control of the House.

U.S. Politics Feb. 12, 2010

Midterm Election Challenges for Both Parties

Opinions of the Republican Party have improved significantly but still far more people blame the GOP for the poor economy than blame the Democrats. Anti-incumbent sentiment runs high: three-in-ten don’t want to see their current representative reelected. Financial institutions remain a major target of public anger.

Pew Research Center Nov. 18, 2009

How the Economy May Sway 2010 Governors’ Races

The tax hikes that so many states levied to plug holes in their recession-ravaged budgets this year could endanger some incumbent governors’ careers in 2010 when 37 gubernatorial contests are at stake.