The View from the Other Side
A survey finds no evidence that a significant number of voters are considering crossing party lines — or voting strategically for the other party’s weakest candidate.
Tracking the Traders
A look at the attitudes of the regular buyers and sellers who make the stock market go up and down finds they are, among other things, even more likely to support the frontrunners in both the Democratic and Republican primaries.
Religious Groups’ Presidential Candidate Preferences
A new analysis of recent surveys show Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani as the preferred candidates among key religious groups. Giuliani, though, garners considerably less support from white evangelical Protestants than he does from white mainline Protestants and white Catholics.
A Year Ahead, Republicans Face Tough Political Terrain
A year before the 2008 presidential election, most major national opinion trends decidedly favor the Democrats and discontent with the state of the nation is markedly greater than it was four years ago. Also, Republicans have become less likely to say that their party is doing a good job standing up for its traditional positions.
The Invisible Primary – Invisible No Longer
In the early months of the 2008 campaign, the media had essentially winnowed the race to a handful of candidates and offered Americans relatively little information about their records or what they would do if elected.
Modest Interest in 2008 Campaign News
Many more Republicans are able to recall unprompted the names of Democratic frontrunners Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama than can name Rudy Giuliani and other leading GOP candidates.
A Portrait of Republican Social-Issue Voters
Though much courted by GOP candidates, the impact of this voting bloc on the presidential nominating process remains unclear.
Thompson Stands with GOP Rank and File during First Debate
In his first appearance on a debate stage with his rivals for the Republican nomination, the former Tennessee senator stuck to very traditional — and very popular — positions among his party’s voters.
Dems Debate Iraq Withdrawal Timetable
When debate moderator Tim Russert asked the Democratic presidential candidates if they would pledge to have all U.S. troops out of Iraq by the end of their first term, the leading candidates all declined to make a firm pledge. Are they in sync — or out of sync — with the views of Democratic voters on the question of an Iraq war withdrawal timetable?
The Oprah Factor in Campaign ’08
Do political endorsements matter? Generally they have little impact on voter preferences, but there’s no telling whether Oprah Winfrey can do for Obama what she has done for countless books and products.