Pew Research Center’s experts will be presenting multiple papers at AAPOR’s 2017 annual conference.

Pew Research Center Experts at #AAPOR2017:


Pew Research Center at AAPOR Agenda
Thursday, May 18
Friday, May 19
Saturday, May 20
Sunday, May 21
WAPOR Presentations


Thursday, May 18

Kick-off General Session: 2:00 p.m. – 3:30 p.m.

Assessing the Climate for Surveys and Social Science Data Collection: A Conversation
Location: Grand Ballroom, Fifth Floor
Moderator: Michael Link, Abt Associates
Panelists: Claudia Deane, Pew Research Center; John Dick, Civic Science; Peter Miller, U.S. Census Bureau; Margie Omero, Penn Schoen Berland

AAPOR Poster Session 1: 3:30 p.m. – 4:30 p.m.
Location: Napoleon Ballroom, Third Floor

29. Negativity Bias: The Link between Communication Strategy and Hostility in Congress
• Adam Hughes, Pew Research Center
Solomon Messing, Pew Research Center
• Patrick VanKessel, Pew Research Center
Related Report: Partisan Conflict and Congressional Outreach

Concurrent Sessions A: Thursday, May 18, 2017, 4:30 p.m. – 6:00 p.m.

Session 4: The State of the Glass Ceiling in the Wake of Hillary Clinton’s Candidacy (Panel)
Location: Oak Alley, Fourth Floor

Gender in 2016: A View from the Exit Polls
• Emily Swanson, The Associated Press
Women are Optimistic but Challenges Remain
• Jennifer De Pinto, CBS News

Hillary Clinton Was the Democratic Nominee for President. Now What?
• Dan Malato, AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research
• Marjorie Connelly, AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research
• Jennifer Benz, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Trevor Tompson, NORC at the University of Chicago

Gender attitudes and the 2016 election
Jocelyn Kiley, Pew Research Center


Friday, May 19

Concurrent Sessions B: 8:00 a.m. – 9:30 a.m.

Session 5: Present and the Future of Survey Research with Voter File Data
Location: Bayside A, Fourth Floor
Moderator: Masahiko Aida, Civis Analytics

Dissecting Polling Errors using Voter List with Total Error Framework
• Masahiko Aida, Civis Analytics

Beyond RDD, Voter List Based Polling by New York Times Upshot and Siena College
• Nate Cohn, New York Times

Why are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls still so Variable when Votes are still so Predictable? Voter Files Can Tell Us Why
• Jonathan Robinson, Catalist
• Kristen Anderson, Echelon Insights

The Role of Commercial Voter Files in the Study of Elections
• Ruth Igielnik, Pew Research Center
Scott Keeter, Pew Research Center
Courtney Kennedy, Pew Research Center

RBS Sampling for Efficient and Accurate Targeting of True Voters
• Patrick Ruffini, Echelon Insights

Session 6: Issues in Opinion Formation and the Media Location: Bayside B, Fourth Floor
Moderator: Robert Shapiro, Columbia University

How Americans Navigate the Modern Information Environment
• Jennifer Benz, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Norman Bradburn, NORC at the University of Chicago

Assessing the Mood of the Nation Using Open Ended Questions: Challenges and Opportunities
• Eric Plutzer, Pennsylvania State University
• Michael B. Berkman, Pennsylvania State University
• Burt Monroe, Pennsylvania State University

Just-in-time Information Acquisition: Empirical Models from Health and Science
• Jon Miller, University of Michigan

Amplifying the Effects of Winning and Losing: Partisan Media’s Effects on Perceived Electoral Integrity in the 2008 and 2012 Presidential Elections
• Andrew M. Daniller, University of Pennsylvania
Searching for News: The Flint Water Crisis
Katerina Eva Matsa, Pew Research Center
Andrew Mercer, Pew Research Center
• Galen Stocking, Pew Research Center
Related Report: Searching for News: The Flint Water CrisisQ&A: Using Google search data to study public interest in the Flint water crisisUsing Google Trends data for research? Here are 6 questions to ask

Expectancy Violation and Costly Signaling: An Interactive Framework for Political Persuasion
• Victoria Dounoucos, Duke University

Concurrent Sessions C: 10:00 a.m. – 11:30 a.m.

Session 1: AAPOR Election Review Panel
Location: Borgne, Third Floor
Moderator: Courtney Kennedy, Pew Research Center

Kristen Olson, University of Nebraska – Lincoln
G. Evans Witt, Princeton Survey Research Associates Doug Rivers, Stanford University
Kyley McGeeney, PSB Research
Claire Durand, University of Montreal
Joshua Clinton, Vanderbilt University
Scott Clement, Washington Post
Mark Blumenthal, SurveyMonkey
Lydia Saad, Gallup
Charles Franklin, Marquette University
Related Reports: An Evaluation of 2016 Election Polls in the U.S.; Q&A: Political polls and the 2016 election

Session 10: B.Y.O.P.: Build Your Own Panel
Location: Rodrigue Gallery, First Floor
Moderator: Curtiss Cobb, Facebook
Developing Random Probability Web-CATI Panels: Evidence from the UK and Beyond
• Curtis Jessop, NatCen Social Research
• Kirby Swales, NatCen Social Research

Experiments in Recruiting the Life in Australia Probability-based Online Panel
• Graham M. Challice, Social Research Centre Pty. Ltd
• Paul J. Lavrakas, Independent Consultant
• Lars Kaczmirek, GESIS – Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences
• Darren W. Pennay, Social Research Centre Pty. Ltd

The Effect of Incentives on the Response Rates of Panel Members: Evidence from the Gallup Panel
• Audris Campbell, Gallup
• Jonathan Rodkin, Gallup
• Jennifer Marlar, Gallup
• Kirti Kanitkar, Gallup

Piggy-backing on Face-to-Face Surveys for Online Panel Recruitment: A 3-country Pilot
• Indrek Soidla, University of Tartu
• Ana Villar, City University London
• Elena Sommer, City University London
• Didrik Finnøy, Norwegian Centre for Research Data
• Bjørn-Ole Johannesen, Norwegian Centre for Research Data
• Nejc Berzelak, University of Ljubljana
• Slavko Kurdija, University of Ljubljana
• Tina Vovk, University of Ljubljana
• Mare Ainsaar, University of Tartu
• Alun Humphrey, NatCen Social Research

Converting Panelists from Mail Mode to Web Mode in Pew Research Center’s American Trends Panel
• Nick Bertoni, Pew Research Center

Concurrent Sessions D: 1:45 p.m. – 3:15 p.m.

Session 1: Behind the Badge: A Nationally Representative Survey of Police Officers (Panel)
Location: Borgne, Third Floor
Moderator: Rich Morin, Pew Research Center
Discussant: Frank Straub, Director of Strategic Studies, The Police Foundation and former Chief of Police, Spokane, Washington

Behind the Badge: Amid Protests and Calls for Reform, How Police View Their Jobs, Key Issues and Recent Fatal Encounters between Blacks and Police
Kim Parker, Pew Research Center

Views from Where They Stand: The Police and the Public Hold Divergent Opinions on Key Aspects of Policing and Some Policy Issues
• Renee Stepler, Pew Research Center

The National Police Research Platform: A Tool to Look Behind the Badge
• Wesley G. Skogan, Northwestern University
Andrew Mercer, Pew Research Center

The View from Behind the Badge: What Law Enforcement Agencies Need and Want to Know
• Frank Straub, Director of Strategic Studies, The Police Foundation and former Chief of Police, Spokane, Washington
Related Report: Behind the Badge

Session 3: Methodological Brief: Advancing Methods in Emerging Technologies
Location: Nottoway, Fourth Floor
Moderator: Emily Geisen, RTI International
Mapping the Meaning of Life: Using Open-ended Surveys and Computational Methods to Extract the Structure of Subjective Well-being
• Patrick van Kessel, Pew Research Center

Big Data, Big Problems: Overcoming Barriers to Consent for Data Linking
• Kyle L. Endres, Duke University
• D. Sunshine Hillygus, Duke University
• Steven Snell, Duke University

Statistical Matching as a Supplement to Record Linkage: A Valuable Method to Tackle Non-consent Bias?
• Jonathan Johannes Ephraim Gessendorfer, Institute for Employment Research
• Jonas Beste, Institute for Employment Research
• Joerg Drechsler, Institute for Employment Research
• Joe Sakshaug, University of Manchester

SMART System: Survey and Measurement using Avatar and Robotic Technology
• Yiran Li, Temple University
• Danfeng Xie, Temple University
• Jeffrey F. Durelli, Temple University
• Carole Tucker, Temple University
• Heidi Grunwald, Temple University
• Li Bai, Temple University
• Alternative Tracking: A First Look at Administering Text Message “Mini-surveys”
• Julie Pacer, Abt Associates
• Kelly Daley, Abt Associates

Mobile Web Survey in the International Setting
• Mingnan Liu, Facebook
• Laura Wronski, SurveyMonkey
• Nick Inchausti, SurveyMonkey

AAPOR Poster Session 2: 3:15 p.m. – 4:15 p.m.
Location: Napoleon Ballroom, Third Floor

37. Are Urban Areas Always Less Religious?
• Becka Alper, Pew Research Center
Jessica Hamar Martinez, Pew Research Center

Concurrent Sessions E: 4:15 p.m. – 5:45 p.m.

Session 2:  Inbound Call Sampling – A New Methodology (Panel)
Location: Maurepas, Third Floor
Moderator: Karol Krotki, RTI International
Redirected Inbound Call Sampling (RICS) – A New Survey Research Tool
• Scott Richards, Reconnect Research
Evaluating Bias in a Survey Using Redirected Inbound Call Sampling (RICS)
• Burton Levine, RTI International
• Karol Krotki, RTI

International Measuring Public Opinion with Inbound Call Sampling
Courtney Kennedy, Pew Research Center
• Kyley McGeeney, PSB Research
• Nicholas Hatley, Pew Research Center

Redirected Inbound Call Sampling (RICS) – Pilot Test Results and Caller Reactions
• Sarah Dipko, Westat
• Eric Jodts, Westat

Redirected Inbound Call Sampling (RICS) and Rapid Surveillance – Questionnaire Design and IRB Issues
• Georgiy Bobashev, RTI International

Session 8: Partisanship and Ideology in the 2016 Election
Location: Gallier A/B, Fourth Floor
Moderator: Nancy Belden, Belden Russonello Strategists

The Impact of Partisanship on Polling: Partisan Nonresponse Bias and the 2016 Presidential Election Polls
• Joshua D. Clinton, Vanderbilt University
• John Lapinski, University of Pennsylvania

Partisan Stability and the 2016 Presidential Campaign
• Bradley Jones, Pew Research Center
Alec Tyson, Pew Research Center
Jocelyn Kiley, Pew Research Center
• Baxter Oliphant, Pew Research Center

Ideology vs. Party Identification: Which Measure is More Stable?
• Sarah Cho, SurveyMonkey
• Jon Cohen, SurveyMonkey

How Independent are Registered Non-partisans? Exploring Party Leanings among California’s Growing Number of Independent Voters
• David R. Kordus, Public Policy Institute of California

What Was Bad Is Now Good, What Was Good Is Now Bad: Pinpointing Changes in Partisans’ Views of National Conditions Under a New President
• Jeffrey Jones, Gallup

Session 10: Data Collection in an International Context: Lessons Learned from the Field
Location: Rodrigue Gallery, First Floor
Moderator: Michelle Edwards, Texas Christian University

When Can We Call?” Experiment to Assess SMS Text to Prompt Response Across Cultures
• John Lee P. Holmes, Qatar University (SESRI)
• Abdoulaye Diop, Qatar University (SESRI)
• Kien T. Le, Qatar University (SESRI)
• Isam Abdelhameed, Qatar University (SESRI)
• Haneen B.K. Alqassass, Qatar University (SESRI)
• Anis Miladi, Qatar University (SESRI)
• Abdulrahman Rahmany, Qatar University (SESRI)
• Yara Qutteina, Qatar University (SESRI)

#Censusfail 2016: Analysing the Distribution of Responses to the 2016 Australian Census, and What it Tells Us about Privacy and Other Concerns
•Nicholas Biddle, Australian National University

Comparison Between the Google Survey and Landline RDD in Two Japanese Regional Elections
• Midoriko Nagasaki, The Asahi Shimbun
• Yasuyuki Saito, The Asahi Shimbun
• Nicolaos E. Synodinos, University of Hawaii – Manoa

Problems of Surveying Public Opinions in the Arab World as seen by the Academic Elite: A Field Study
• Reda Abdelwaged Yousef, Ahlia University
• Hemat Alsaka, Ahlia University

Hanging Up on F2F? Mode Comparison for Polling in Eastern Europe
• Michelle E. Romo, U.S. Department of State
• Marta Churella, U.S. Department of State
• Patrick Moynihan, Pew Research Center
• Peyton Craighill, U.S. Department of State


Saturday, May 20

Concurrent Session G: 8:00 a.m. – 9:30 a.m.

Session 2: Fit Your Purpose: Frameworks and Examples of Alternatives to Probability Sampling
Location: Maurepas, Third Floor
Moderator: Edward ‘Paul’ Johnson, SSI
A Framework for Large Scale Nonprobability Polling, with Examples from the 2016 Presidential Election
• Tobi Kontizer, Stanford University
• David Rothschild, Microsoft Research

Why the Total Survey Error Framework is Wrong for Nonprobability Surveys
Andrew W. Mercer, Pew Research Center
Indirect Sampling for RDS designs
• Guillaume Filteau, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
• Robert Agans, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
• Donglin Zeng, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Differences in Probability and Nonprobability Samples of Asian Racial Subgroups
• Bryan B. Rhodes, RTI International
• Ellen L. Marks, RTI International
• Darrick Hamilton, The New School
• William A. Darity, Duke University

Surveying Rare or Hidden Populations Using a Probability-based Household Panel
• Vicki Pineau, NORC at the University of Chicago
• J. Michael Dennis, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Stuart Michaels, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Sherry Emery, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Nadarajasundaram Ganesh, NORC at the University of Chicago

Concurrent Session G: 10:00 a.m. – 11:30 a.m.

Session 3: Driving Them to the Web: Strategies, Techniques and Innovations
Location: Nottoway, Fourth Floor
Moderator: Nick Bertoni, Pew Research Center
Testing the Impact of Mail Materials on Web Participation in the National Immunization Survey
• Benjamin Skalland, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Jacquelyn George, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Vincent Welch, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Holly Hill, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
• Laurie Elam-Evans, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
• Cynthia Knighton, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
• Chalanda Smith, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Who Can We Text? Assessing the Extent of Biases in Consent to Receive Text Message Reminders in a Follow-up Survey
• Mengmeng Zhang, American Institutes for Research
• Rebecca Medway, American Institutes for Research
• Mark Masterton, American Institutes for Research

Novelty of Text Messages as Reminders for Web Surveys: Does it last?
• Kirti Kanitkar, Gallup
• Jennifer Marlar, Gallup

Too Good to Be True – Incentive Experiment Results from a Multi-wave Student Survey
• Jill Connelly, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Karen Grigorian, NORC at the University of Chicago
How Much Does a Promise of a $5 Gift Card Buy for a Web Survey of College Students? Probably More Than You Think
• David Cantor, Westat

Session 5: Measuring and Evaluating Nonresponse
Location: Bayside A, Fourth Floor
Moderator: Don Dillman, Washington State University

Public Attitudes on Federal Statistics: What are Respondents Really Thinking?
• Gerson David Morales, U.S Census Bureau
• Jenna Fulton, U.S. Census Bureau
• Peter Miller, U.S. Census Bureau
• Jennifer Hunter Childs, U.S. Census Bureau

Nonresponse Bias in a Dual Frame Phone Survey: Are the Later Respondents Different from Early Respondents, BRFSS 2015
• Pranesh P. Chowdhury, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
• Carol Pierannunzi, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
• Machell Town, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
• William Garvin, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Coverage and Nonresponse Biases in the National Youth Tobacco Survey
• Ronaldo Iachan, ICF International
• Sean Hu, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
• Katherine Flint, ICF International
• Linda J. Neff, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

The Respondents (and Nonrespondents) have Spoken! Results of a Rigorous Nonresponse Follow-up Study Across Multiple Survey Modes
• Floyd Fowler, University of Massachusetts – Boston
• Philip Brenner, University of Massachusetts – Boston
• Trent Buskirk, University of Massachusetts – Boston

Nonresponse Trends in Telephone RDD Surveys
• Nicholas A. Hatley, Pew Research Center
Courtney Kennedy, Pew Research Center
• Kyley McGeeney, PSB Research

Session 7: Poll and Poll Aggregation Challenges During the 2016 Election Cycle (Panel) Organized by DC-AAPOR
Location: Bayside C, Fourth Floor
Moderator: Gina Walejko, U.S. Census Bureau

Poll Aggregation: Looking Forward David Rothschild, Microsoft & PredictWise How Much Should Individual Polls Matter In Aggregation and Forecasting?
• Natalie Jackson, Huffington Post / POLLSTER.COM

Dismissing the “Shy Trump” Effect
• Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight

Survey Mode Effects During the 2016 Election Cycle
• Tyler Sinclair, Morning Consult
Adjustments for Differential Partisan Nonresponse in Public Opinion Surveys
Courtney Kennedy, Pew Research Center

Session 8: Race, Religion, Sex and Gender
Location: Gallier A/B, Fourth Floor
Moderator: Laura Wronski, SurveyMonkey

Can Respondent Race Alter Perceptions of Events? Biased Processing of Officer-involved Shootings
• Josh Pasek, University of Michigan
• Hakeem Jefferson, University of Michigan
• Fabian Neuner, University of Michigan

Race, Religion and the Meaning of Evangelicalism
• Claire Gecewicz, Pew Research Center
Jessica Hamar Martinez, Pew Research Center
Gregory A. Smith, Pew Research Center

Does Nonresponse Contribute to Bias in Survey Estimates of Religious Service Attendance?
• Philip Brenner, University of Massachusetts – Boston
Gender Differences in Sources of Support for Gay Marriage
• Claire Kelley, International Survey Center
• Sarah M.C. Kelley, University of California – Berkeley

Investigating and Understanding Responses to Questions on Sex, Sexual Orientation and Sexual Identity
• Carol Pierannunzi, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
• William Garvin, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
• Machell Town, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Session 9: Over Rated or Under Weighted? Methods for Improving Inferences from Online Nonprobability Samples
Location: Grand Chenier, Fifth Floor
Moderator: Stas Kolenikov, Abt Associates

www.Are_You_In_My_Sample.com: A Deeper Dive on the Digital Divide
• David Dutwin, SSRS
• Trent Buskirk, University of Massachusetts – Boston

Using Internet Survey Platform to Sample Online Respondents
• Jack Chen, SurveyMonkey
• Laura Wronski, SurveyMonkey
• Sarah Cho, SurveyMonkey

Weighting and Estimation Procedures for Nonprobability Surveys: Variable Selection vs. Statistical Technique
Andrew W. Mercer, Pew Research Center

Experimental Weighting Techniques for Online Nonprobability Election Polls
• Jack Chen, SurveyMonkey
• Jon Cohen, SurveyMonkey
• Sarah Cho, SurveyMonkey

Going Beyond Geodemographic Weighting Adjustments to Reduce Bias in Nonprobability Sample Surveys
• Robert Benford, GfK
• Frances M. Barlas, GfK
• John Lien, GfK
• Mansour Fahimi, GfK

AAPOR Poster Session 3: 12:45 p.m. – 1:45 p.m.
Location: Napoleon Ballroom, Third Floor
22. Behind the 2016 Election: Shifting Primary Preferences and their Implications in the General Election
• Hannah Fingerhut, Pew Research Center
• Bradley Jones, Pew Research Center
Related Reports: In Clinton’s March to Nomination, Many Democrats Changed Their Minds; For GOP Voters, a Winding Path to a Trump Nomination

Concurrent Session H: 1:45 p.m. – 3:15 a.m.
Session 5: The Disgruntled Voter: Frustration, Anxiety and Candidate Popularity
Location: Bayside A, Fourth Floor
Moderator: Claudia Deane, Pew Research Center
The Frustrated Public: The Mood of the Electorate Ahead of the 2016 Presidential Election
• Liz Kantor, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Dan Malato, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Marjorie Connelly, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Jennifer Benz, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Trevor Tompson, NORC at the University of Chicago
Anxiety and the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election
• Rebecca Phillips, YouGov
• Steffen Weiss, YouGov Samantha Luks, YouGov

In Search of a Political Anxiety Index: If You Come to a Fork in the Road, Take It
• Harry L. Wilson, Roanoke College
• David G. Taylor, Roanoke College

Tracking Americans’ Images of the Candidates as the 2016 Campaign Progressed
• Frank Newport, Gallup
• Jeffrey Jones, Gallup
• Stephanie Marken, Gallup
• Lydia Saad, Gallup

Proven Failure: First-time Presidential Voting and Political Trust
• Eunji Kim, University of Pennsylvania
• Jin Woo Kim, University of Pennsylvania

Session 8: Issues Related to Surveying and Interviewing Hispanics in the United States (Panel)
Location: Gallier A/B, Fourth Floor
Moderator: Sonya Wytinck, National Research Center

How Much is Too Much? English Use and its Implications for Data Quality in Cognitive Testing of a Spanish Translation of a U.S. Housing Survey
• Lucia Lykke, U.S. Census Bureau
• Gerson Morales, U.S. Census Bureau

Panel Recruitment for Spanish Speaking Populations: The AmeriSpeak Case Study
• Ilana Ventura, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Rene Bautista-Martinez, NORC at the University of Chicago
• David Gleicher, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Carolina Milesi, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Erlina Hendarwan, NORC at the University of Chicago

Methodological Challenges When Analyzing Latino Health Disparities
• Rosa Avila, AcademyHealth/NCHS Health Policy Fellow
Central and South American Indigenous, American Indian or Hispanic/Latino Respondents? Navigating Racial Identity Categories in U.S. Census Forms
• Anna Sandoval Giron, U.S. Census Bureau

Declining Immigration and High Intermarriage Rates are Reshaping U.S. Hispanic Identity
Ana Gonzalez-Barrera, Pew Research Center
Mark Lopez, Pew Hispanic Center


Sunday, May 21

Concurrent Sessions J: 8:30 a.m. – 10:00 a.m.
Session 1:
Tracking the Election to Understand Trump’s Win
Location: Borgne, Third Floor
Moderator: Laura Silver, U.S. Department of State (Currently at Pew Research Center)

A 2016 Election Polling Post-mortem: The ABC News/Washington Post Tracking Poll
•Gregory Holyk, Langer Research Associates
•Gary Langer, Langer Research Associates
•Chad Kiewiet De Jonge, Langer Research Associates
•Scott Clement, Washington Post

RAND 2016 Presidential Election Panel Survey (PEPS) Polling Post-mortem: What Went Wrong?
•Michael Pollard, RAND Corporation
•Joshua Mendelsohn, RAND Corporation

What We Learned from Conducting the Experimental USC Dornsife / Los Angeles Times 2016 Election “Daybreak” Poll
Jill E. Darling, University of Southern California
•Arie Kapteyn, University of Southern California
•Erik Meijer, University of Southern California
Tania Gutsche, University of Southern California

A Developmental Analysis of Trump Voters
Jon Miller, University of Michigan

Did the Tea Party Drive the Rise of Trump?
Gustavo Sanchez, Civis Analytics
•Geoff Bakken, Civis Analytics

Concurrent Sessions K: 10:15 a.m. – 11:45 a.m.

Session 5: Survey Nonresponse in 2016 Election Polling
Location: Bayside A, Fourth Floor
Moderator: David Dutwin, SSRS

Why Nobody Saw Trump Coming: Nonresponse Bias Among Non-college Educated Whites
• David Shor, Civis Analytics
• Charlotte Swasey, Civis Analytics

Did White Nonresponse Cause Pre-election Polls to Be Wrong in the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election?
• Joshua D. Clinton, Vanderbilt University
• John Lapinski, University of Pennsylvania

Not Getting It Wrong Again: Leveraging a Bayesian Approach to Reduce Nonresponse Bias in 2016 Pre-election Polls
• Chris Jackson, Ipsos Public Affairs
• Neale El-Dash, Ipsos Public Affairs
• Joe Zappa, Ipsos Public Affairs

Sore Losers: Determinants of Participation in Post-election Surveys
• Bradley Jones, Pew Research Center
• Adam Hughes, Pew Research Center

Meet the Independents: Using Cluster Analysis to Construct a Typology of Independent Voters
• Yin Wu, University of Wisconsin – Madison
• Ayellet Pelled, University of Wisconsin – Madison
• Megan Duncan, University of Wisconsin – Madison
• Song Wang, University of Wisconsin – Madison
• Moonhoon Choi, University of Wisconsin – Madison
• Jiyoun Suk, University of Wisconsin – Madison
• Douglas McLeod, University of Wisconsin – Madison

Session 6: The Climate Change “Conspiracy”
Location: Bayside B, Fourth Floor
Moderator: James Duran, Northwestern University

Religious Leaders and Public Opinion on Climate Change: Priming Pope Francis Heightens Moral Perceptions of the Issue
• Jonathon P. Schuldt, Cornell University
• Adam R. Pearson, Pomona College
• Rainer Romero-Canyas, Environmental Defense Fund
• Dylan Larson-Konar, Environmental Defense Fund

Misperceptions of Public Opinion: Americans Underestimate Belief in Global Warming
• Adina Abeles, Stanford University
• Lauren Howe, Stanford University
• Jon A. Krosnick, Stanford University
• Bo MacInnis, Stanford University

The Primacy of Politics in Views on Climate Change
• Brian Kennedy, Pew Research Center

Trump Voters and Global Warming
• Seth A. Rosenthal, Yale Program on Climate Change Communication
• Anthony Leiserowitz, Yale University
• Edward Maibach, George Mason University
• Connie Roser-Renouf, George Mason University
• Matthew Cutler, Yale University
• Geoff Feinberg, Yale University

Comparative Knowledge and Attitudes Toward Climate Change
• Meaghan McKasy, University of Utah
• Jessica Pechmann, University of Utah
• Julia Howe, University of Utah
• Vanessa Bailey, University of Utah

Session 9: Basket of Deplorables: Race, Gender, Age and the Vote
Location: Grand Chenier, Fifth Floor
Moderator: Krista Jenkins, Fairleigh Dickinson University

Latinos in the 2016 Election: Was There a Trump Effect?
Mark Hugo Lopez, Pew Research Center
Ana Gonzalez-Barrera, Pew Research Center
• Gustavo Lopez, Pew Research Center
Related Report: Democrats Maintain Edge as Party ‘More Concerned’ for Latinos, but Views Similar to 2012

Unpacking the Women’s Vote
• Jennifer Su, Princeton Survey Research Associates International
• Maureen Michaels, Michaels Opinion Research, Inc.
• Hannah Hartig, University of Pennsylvania
• Stephanie Psyllos, NBC Universal

Emasculation and 2016: Gender Role Threat, Attitudes and the Vote
• Dan Cassino, Fairleigh Dickinson University
• Peter Woolley, Fairleigh Dickinson University

Millennials and the 2016 Election: How Race and Ethnicity Shaped Young Adults’ Experiences and Beliefs
• David Sterrett, NORC at The University of Chicago
• Liz Kantor, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Jennifer Benz, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Trevor Tompson, NORC at the University of Chicago
• Emily Alvarez, NORC at the University of Chicago

Polling Millennials in 2016
• Joshua J. Dyck, University of Massachusetts – Lowell
• John Cluverius, University of Massachusetts – Lowell


2017 WAPOR Presentations
15th-17th July 2017
Lisbon, Portugal

Saturday, July 15

13:00-14:20

Session: Methods I
Location: Castelo III

Optimal Integration of Surveys
• Mansour Fahimi (GfK)

Interviewer Effects in a Multilingual Face-to-Face Survey on Financial Behaviour. Evidence from Zambi
• P. Linh Nguyen (University of Essex/ University of Mannheim)
• Frauke Kreuter (University of Mannheim/ University of Maryland/ IAB)
• Markus Frölich (University of Mannheim)

Picturing Public Opinion: The Effect of Item Nonresponse Options on the Outcome of Public Opinion Surveys
• Jannine Van De Maat (The Netherlands Institute for Social Research (SCP))

Coverage error in dual-frame telephone surveys – Implications for cross-country research
• Steve Schwarzer (Pew Research Center)
• Danielle Cuddington (Pew Research Center)
• Patrick Moynihan (Pew Research Center)

16:10-17:30
Session: Political Attitudes
Location: Castelo IV + V

“But, we like America…”: Pro-Americanism in East and Southeast Asia
• Ming-chang Tsai (Center for Asia-Pacific Area Studies, RCHSS, Academia Sinica)

Does Strain Induce Support for Islamism
• Amaney Jamal (Princeton University)

What factors drive socially conservative views in Central and Eastern Europe?
• Jonathan Evans (Pew Research Center)
• Scott Gardner (Pew Research Center)
Neha Sahgal (Pew Research Center)
• Kelsey Jo Starr (Pew Research Center)

Traditional media, opinion poll and democratic values
• Satoko Yasuno (Chuo University)

Survey Experiments in the Arab World
• Justin Gengler (SESRI, Qatar University