Pew Research Center survey reports, demographic studies and data-driven analysis
Obama Gains Edge in Campaign’s Final Days
Barack Obama has edged ahead of Mitt Romney in the final days of the presidential campaign. Obama holds a 48% to 45% lead among likely voters. The Pew Research Center’s final estimate of the national popular vote is Obama 50% and Romney 47%, when the undecided vote is allocated between the two candidates.
Nonvoters: Who They Are, What They Think
A sizable minority of adults choose not to vote or are unable to vote. They will affect the outcome of the presidential election by their absence. Who are they?
In Deadlocked Race, Neither Side Has Ground Advantage
Just as the presidential race is deadlocked, the candidates are running about even when it comes to the ground game. Voters report being contacted at about the same rates by each campaign. And neither candidate has a clear advantage among early voters.
Presidential Race Dead Even; Romney Maintains Turnout Edge
As the presidential campaign enters its final week, the race is even among likely voters: 47% favor Barack Obama and the same percentage supports Mitt Romney. While Romney holds a turnout advantage, Obama leads on many personal characteristics and issues.
Republicans Increasingly Positive About Presidential Campaign
Republicans express increasingly positive opinions about the presidential campaign and are now about as likely as Democrats to view the campaign as interesting and informative.
Growing Pessimism about Arab Spring Aftermath
A new survey finds increasing public pessimism about developments in the Middle East and more support for tough policies to deal with Iran’s nuclear program and economic issues with China.
More Americans Say There Is Solid Evidence of Global Warming
Two-thirds of Americans now say there is solid evidence of global warming and an increasing proportion also say that the rise in the earth’s temperature has mostly been caused by human activity.
Voters Divided Over Who Will Win Second Debate
Fully 41% of voters say Obama will do better, while 37% expect Romney to prevail. This stands in stark contrast to expectations prior to the first presidential debate two weeks ago, which voters expected Obama to win by a 51%-29% margin.
Deep Divisions over Debt Reduction Proposals As ’Fiscal Cliff’ Approaches
Among a dozen specific options for reducing the debt and deficit, only two win majority approval from the public – raising taxes on annual incomes over $250,000 and limiting corporate tax deductions.
One-in-Ten ’Dual-Screened’ the Presidential Debate
More than half of America watched the first presidential debate live, including 11% who were “dual screeners,” following coverage on a computer or mobile device while also following television coverage.