U.S. Politics Nov. 6, 2006

Public Concern About the Vote Count and Uncertainty About Electronic Voting Machines

Public doubts about the accuracy of the vote count may have some significant consequences on election day. The problem is much on the minds of some political operatives who worry that it may discourage voting among some constituencies.

U.S. Politics Nov. 5, 2006

Republicans Cut Democratic Lead in Campaign’s Final Days

A nationwide Pew survey finds that the midterm election campaign has tightened considerably in the campaign’s final week. Among likely voters, 47% say they plan to vote for a Democratic congressional candidate on Tuesday and 43% say they plan to vote for a Republican.

U.S. Politics Nov. 1, 2006

Karl Rove’s Ground War Challenge

In an election environment which seems to favor the Democrats in so many ways, the Republicans continue to hold two strong cards; they have more money and they are better at getting out the vote than are the Democrats.

U.S. Politics Oct. 27, 2006

Lack of Competition in Elections Fails to Stir Public

The concern among some politicians and political experts over the lack of competitiveness in U.S. elections is generally not shared by the public. Moreover, voters appear to lack a clear sense of whether the elections in their own House districts are competitive or not.

U.S. Politics Oct. 26, 2006

Cell-Only Voters Not Very Different

Political pollsters continue to cast a wary eye on the growing number of Americans who use only a cell phone and have no landline. The Pew Research Center estimates that this group now constitutes one-in-ten adults. But three Pew surveys of cell-only Americans this year have found that their absence from landline surveys is not creating a measurable bias in the bottom-line findings.

U.S. Politics Oct. 26, 2006

Can Safe Seats Save the Republicans?

One of the biggest political questions in the final weeks of this Congressional campaign is whether the national trend in support for Democratic candidates is big enough to overcome the safe-seat redistricting that in recent years has led to fewer and fewer seats turning over in Congress.

U.S. Politics Oct. 26, 2006

Democrats Hold Double-Digit Lead in Competitive Districts

The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press shows that Iraq continues to be the dominant issue for voters. More than four-in-ten voters (45%) view the situation in Iraq as the most important, or second most important issue in their vote, the highest percentage for the six issues tested.

U.S. Politics Oct. 18, 2006

Evangelicals and the GOP: An Update

White evangelical Protestants have become the most important part of the Republican Party’s electoral base, making up nearly one-in-four of those who identify with the GOP and vote for its candidates. This analysis examines the current state of evangelical support for the GOP, in light of the approaching 2006 elections.

U.S. Politics Oct. 18, 2006

Who Votes, Who Doesn’t and Why

A new survey finds large differences between Americans who are not registered to vote or vote only rarely and those who cast ballots at least some of the time. These two groups at the bottom of the voting participation scale are much less likely than regular or intermittent voters to believe that voting will make much of a difference.

U.S. Politics Oct. 11, 2006

November Turnout May Be High

Unlike the past three mid-term election campaigns, Democrats are more enthusiastic than Republicans about voting this year.