U.S. Politics Feb. 11, 2008

Young Voters in the 2008 Presidential Primaries

Beyond the vote, the exit polls point to interesting differences — and similarities — between younger and older Democratic voters.

U.S. Politics Feb. 8, 2008

Patterns of Distinction

Super Tuesday revealed distinct – and somewhat suprising — voting patterns across the nation that may shape the course ahead in the closely contested Democratic race.

U.S. Politics Feb. 1, 2008

A Look at the Numbers

So far, the 2008 primaries and caucuses have been anything but predictable — comebacks, fallbacks, not to mention surprised pollsters. But a closer look reveals some common themes that have emerged.

U.S. Politics Jan. 30, 2008

Global Warming Falls Still Farther on Republicans’ Policy Agenda

Republicans’ concerns about climate change have fallen through the floor. Just 12% now call it a top priority for policymakers.

U.S. Politics Jan. 28, 2008

The South Carolina Democratic Primary in Black and White

This time, the pre-election polls understated Barack Obama’s support among both white and black voters.

U.S. Politics Jan. 25, 2008

Raising McCain

Nearly lost in the blizzard of recent poll reports were the findings of a Gallup survey that the current GOP frontrunner, John McCain, might well give each of the two Democratic frontrunners a run for their money.

U.S. Politics Jan. 18, 2008

Mind the Gender Gap

Does Hilary Clinton have a problem with male voters or does Barack Obama simply appeal more to men?

U.S. Politics Jan. 11, 2008

The GOP’s Unanswered Question

Thursday night’s Republican debate in South Carolina in the wake of John McCain’s comeback victory in New Hampshire and Mike Huckabee’s surprising win in Iowa raised more questions than it answered.

U.S. Politics Jan. 10, 2008

Getting It Wrong

Several factors deserve exploration, but one should not ignore the possibility of the longstanding pattern of pre-election polls overstating support for black candidates among white voters, particularly white voters who are poor.

U.S. Politics Dec. 19, 2007

Primary Preview: Dynamics Differ for the Two Parties in Early Races

For Democratic candidates, the decisive factors in Iowa and New Hampshire are personal and tactical; for GOP contestants, however, the ultimate outcome may be decided by the relative strength of newly combative ideological elements.