A Look at the Numbers
So far, the 2008 primaries and caucuses have been anything but predictable — comebacks, fallbacks, not to mention surprised pollsters. But a closer look reveals some common themes that have emerged.
Global Warming Falls Still Farther on Republicans’ Policy Agenda
Republicans’ concerns about climate change have fallen through the floor. Just 12% now call it a top priority for policymakers.
The South Carolina Democratic Primary in Black and White
This time, the pre-election polls understated Barack Obama’s support among both white and black voters.
Nearly lost in the blizzard of recent poll reports were the findings of a Gallup survey that the current GOP frontrunner, John McCain, might well give each of the two Democratic frontrunners a run for their money.
Mind the Gender Gap
Does Hilary Clinton have a problem with male voters or does Barack Obama simply appeal more to men?
The GOP’s Unanswered Question
Thursday night’s Republican debate in South Carolina in the wake of John McCain’s comeback victory in New Hampshire and Mike Huckabee’s surprising win in Iowa raised more questions than it answered.
Getting It Wrong
Several factors deserve exploration, but one should not ignore the possibility of the longstanding pattern of pre-election polls overstating support for black candidates among white voters, particularly white voters who are poor.
Primary Preview: Dynamics Differ for the Two Parties in Early Races
For Democratic candidates, the decisive factors in Iowa and New Hampshire are personal and tactical; for GOP contestants, however, the ultimate outcome may be decided by the relative strength of newly combative ideological elements.
What Was — and Wasn’t — On the Public’s Mind in 2007
A compilation of the top 15 stories in which public opinion played a significant role, and the year’s most notable “non-barking dogs.”
Public Opinion About Mormons
Mitt Romney’s speech discussing the role of religion in American politics addressed a public among which many harbor doubts about his Mormon faith.