U.S. Politics Sep. 25, 2008

The Candidates: In a Word

View “word clouds” of voters’ impressions of the candidates based on one-word descriptions from a recent Pew survey.

U.S. Politics Sep. 25, 2008

Uncertain Times

In every recent election the public has accurately picked the winner by this time in the cycle. But not this year.

U.S. Politics Sep. 23, 2008

Cell Phones and the 2008 Vote: An Update

As in two preceding tests, a new survey shows that including cell phone interviews results in slightly more support for Obama and slightly less for McCain.

U.S. Politics Sep. 11, 2008

The Bounce Effect

There is little doubt that the fall campaign begins in earnest with McCain having gained the momentum. How good an indicator is this of where the electorate is headed on Nov. 4?

U.S. Politics Aug. 25, 2008

Obama’s Challenge

As Democrats gather in Denver, many may be wondering why the presidential race has tightened. An analysis of polling data shows that that while voters are unhappy with the state of the nation and give low ratings to President Bush, the GOP base has started to solidify around McCain. Polling also finds that Obama’s extensive media coverage may be a mixed blessing.

U.S. Politics Aug. 22, 2008

A Closer Look at the Parties in 2008

As the 2008 conventions approach, the Democratic Party’s advantage in party identification remains as large as it has been over the past two decades, and the Democratic Party’s image remains substantially more positive than the GOP’s.

U.S. Politics Jul. 29, 2008

The Power of the Protest Vote

Don’t be surprised if third or fourth party presidential candidates garner enough votes in November to make a difference

U.S. Politics Jul. 17, 2008

Cell Phones and the 2008 Vote: An Update

The latest Pew Research Center national survey, including a sample of 503 adults on a cell phone, finds that the overall estimate of voter presidential preference is modestly affected by whether or not the cell phone respondents are included.

U.S. Politics Jul. 17, 2008

Should Women Worry Obama?

Obama is doing better among young and independent women than either of the last two Democratic nominees, but many older Democratic women remain undecided.

U.S. Politics Jul. 15, 2008

Belief that Obama is Muslim is Durable, Bipartisan – but Most Likely to Sway Democratic Votes

The New Yorker magazine’s controversial cover has renewed focus on persistent public misperceptions of Sen. Barack Obama’s faith.