U.S. Politics Aug. 25, 2008

Obama’s Challenge

As Democrats gather in Denver, many may be wondering why the presidential race has tightened. An analysis of polling data shows that that while voters are unhappy with the state of the nation and give low ratings to President Bush, the GOP base has started to solidify around McCain. Polling also finds that Obama’s extensive media coverage may be a mixed blessing.

U.S. Politics Aug. 22, 2008

A Closer Look at the Parties in 2008

As the 2008 conventions approach, the Democratic Party’s advantage in party identification remains as large as it has been over the past two decades, and the Democratic Party’s image remains substantially more positive than the GOP’s.

U.S. Politics Jul. 29, 2008

The Power of the Protest Vote

Don’t be surprised if third or fourth party presidential candidates garner enough votes in November to make a difference

U.S. Politics Jul. 17, 2008

Should Women Worry Obama?

Obama is doing better among young and independent women than either of the last two Democratic nominees, but many older Democratic women remain undecided.

U.S. Politics Jul. 17, 2008

Cell Phones and the 2008 Vote: An Update

The latest Pew Research Center national survey, including a sample of 503 adults on a cell phone, finds that the overall estimate of voter presidential preference is modestly affected by whether or not the cell phone respondents are included.

U.S. Politics Jul. 15, 2008

Belief that Obama is Muslim is Durable, Bipartisan – but Most Likely to Sway Democratic Votes

The New Yorker magazine’s controversial cover has renewed focus on persistent public misperceptions of Sen. Barack Obama’s faith.

U.S. Politics Jun. 12, 2008

Gay Marriage Is Back On The Radar For Republicans, Evangelicals

Overall opposition to same-sex marriages has declined somewhat but the issue has regained importance among some conservative groups.

U.S. Politics Jun. 4, 2008

Obama Backers Cool to Clinton as Running Mate

While a majority of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters (53%) favor a so-called “Dream Ticket,” fully 54% of Obama supporters do not want Clinton chosen as his running mate.

U.S. Politics Jun. 2, 2008

The Iraq Challenge

Soaring concern about the economy has displaced the Iraq War as the top priority issue among voters. Ambivalent and contradictory public opinions further complicate the role that the conflict will play in the November election.

U.S. Politics May. 9, 2008

The Widening Gap

While Barack Obama’s appeal to the young coincides with their increasing Democratic alignment, older voters do not show the greater allegiance to the GOP that might explain their relative reluctance to support him.