U.S. Politics Mar. 8, 2007

Foreign Policy: The Public Sends a Muddled Message

Opinion surveys find much in the way of public frustration, but little in the way of direction on the international and military front.

U.S. Politics Feb. 14, 2007

How Reliable Are the Early Presidential Polls?

As the number of declared presidential candidates grows, followers of early poll readings should bear in mind some caveats. Early frontrunners for the Republican nomination in most of the past seven open contests have gone on to win the nomination, but this year there are two GOP frontrunners instead of one clear leader. On the Democratic side, even when there is a clear frontrunner as there is this year with Sen. Hillary Clinton, the early polls have been less reliable in predicting who will capture the nomination.

U.S. Politics Feb. 7, 2007

Can You Trust What Polls Say about Obama’s Electoral Prospects?

The strong showing of Democrat Barack Obama in early trial heat polls for the 2008 presidential election raises anew the question of whether the American public is ready to support an African American candidate for president. Recent polling points to two significant shifts on this question.

U.S. Politics Jan. 4, 2007

The Complicated Politics of Free Trade

Crafting effective U.S. trade policies in an era of rapid economic globalization is tough. But the politics of free trade are even tougher — particularly for Democrats, according to a recent national survey conducted by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press.