Polling on the deficit: Why question order matters
Polling organizations devote a great deal of attention to the wording of survey questions, but they need to be just as concerned about how questions are ordered. The context in which a specific question is asked, particularly what directly precedes a question in a telephone interview, often has an impact on the way people respond.
The last government shutdown and now: a different environment
As the government faces its first shutdown since 1995-1996, the standoff between the Obama administration and Republicans over the federal budget is occurring in a different public opinion environment than when President Bill Clinton faced off with the GOP-controlled House.
Lessons from the last government shutdown
The 1995-1996 government shutdowns didn’t help the GOP’s image, but the party had lost support among the public well before they happened.
Boehner’s hard line on budget is in step with GOP primary voters
This week, House Speaker John Boehner agreed to tie funding of the government to defunding Obamacare, as conservative members of his caucus have demanded. This proposal may be unlikely to survive the Democratic-controlled Senate, not to mention the president’s veto pen, but recent Pew Research Center surveys show that it is clearly in step with […]
Many Americans say educational system in need of overhaul
About two-thirds of Americans say either that the education system in this country needs to be completely rebuilt (21%) or that it requires major changes.
Tea Party Republicans exert stronger influence in GOP primaries
There is a 17-point gap between the percentage of Tea Party Republicans (62%) and non-Tea Party Republicans (45%) who say they always vote in primary elections.
Economic recovery favors the more-affluent who own stocks
While the stock market has been surging, there is a big gap who who benefits that has implications for the strength of the economic recovery.
Should Guantanamo be open or closed? Either way, Democrats have stuck with Obama
One near-certainty on which President Obama can count in his renewed effort to close the prison at Guantanamo is support from rank-and-file Democrats who have consistently backed him on this issue.